MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bd6c4c42854e80b5978b9e51e90b0f6729e1ecbe6d2c107a5a39702089a4143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 43c | 34,883$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,883.26 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 57c | 24,251$13,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,823.07 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 10,212$5,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 2,325$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.05 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 2,217$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.8 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 1,595$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 57c | 1,351$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 45c | 1,300$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 57c | 1,151$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.79 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 54c | 1,112$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 1,094$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Under | 57c | 1,056$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 854.89$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.06 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 57c | 689.69$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.12 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 44c | 681.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.79 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Over | 44c | 604.43$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.48 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 44c | 600$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…d95dbacked Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 451.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.07 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 24c | 437.15$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 44c | 403.68$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.06 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 79c | 384.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 23c | 367.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 317.57$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Over | 44c | 261.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…6007backed Over | 44c | 227.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.21 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 44c | 210$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 37c | 202$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 186.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 44c | 182.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.24 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 56c | 179.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c19…94f5backed Under | 57c | 170.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…a10bbacked Over | 44c | 134.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Over | 44c | 134.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 44c | 123.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9654…fa6cbacked Under | 56c | 108.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Over | 44c | 101.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…637bbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 44c | 94.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 63c | 93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Over | 44c | 90.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 33c | 89.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 77c | 85.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 78.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dc…db02backed Over | 44c | 78.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 31c | 76.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 44c | 73.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed Under | 57c | 69.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 57c | 66.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over | 44c | 66.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…829cbacked Over | 56c | 62.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Over | 44c | 62.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 50c | 61.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 57c | 57.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 52c | 52.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 50.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 24c | 48.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bd…0e7fbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…16cebacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Over | 44c | 45.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…c1c8backed Over | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Over | 44c | 44.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 44c | 41.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Over | 44c | 39.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Over | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…416dbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…9779backed Over | 44c | 34.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…04c8backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…30edbacked Over | 44c | 33.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…baafbacked Over | 44c | 33.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…5ef9backed Over | 44c | 33.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Over | 50c | 27.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Over | 44c | 27.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Over | 44c | 27.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…7572backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Over | 44c | 26.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 45c | 23.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Over | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 72c | 18.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.