MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94fa4a58ff0c26c6d015101a131f958642013e60709ecb324e11c570121056af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 51c | 53,668$27,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,297.19 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 49c | 51,027$25,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,003.32 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 56c | 12,887$7,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.94 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 12,552$6,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,024.96 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 32c | 11,111$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.52 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 7,777$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.93 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Over | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 49c | 6,030$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.79 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 5,891$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.48 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 5,843$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 4,483$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 4,261$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.99 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Under | 48c | 3,150$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 2,625$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 47c | 990.96$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.75 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 927.91$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.23 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 840$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 59c | 805.38$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.22 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 52c | 756.01$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 53c | 744.76$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.36 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 51c | 729.09$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.89 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 666.74$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 592.31$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.31 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…d95dbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…f20ebacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 52c | 556.73$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.23 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 553.32$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.59 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 53c | 501.24$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.58 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 475$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.25 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 52c | 391.35$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.85 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 51c | 391.28$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.27 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 52c | 390$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 48c | 362.44$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.97 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Over | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…33eabacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over | 52c | 265.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 240.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 52c | 230.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 49c | 218$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 52c | 201.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…6007backed Over | 52c | 192.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 43c | 185.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 52c | 184.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 52c | 161.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Over | 52c | 136.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…5ef9backed Over | 66c | 135.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Over | 52c | 132.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 29c | 129.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Over | 52c | 127.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…a10bbacked Over | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 110.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Under | 28c | 101.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…637bbacked Over | 52c | 84.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 23c | 59.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 53c | 59.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 71c | 58.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 57c | 58.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Over | 51c | 57.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 55.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…9779backed Over | 52c | 53.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 52c | 53.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 51.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under | 48c | 49.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…7a58backed Under | 28c | 49.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…6390backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Over | 51c | 47.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over | 52c | 42.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 53c | 41.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Over | 51c | 41.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…4577backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 203 | 57.1%116 W · 87 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7f14backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.