MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d676315beea31c81bb69a2df8cafe36f98cffddf57bd4cd055b7bcfb9a9554

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Baltimore Oriolesof San Diego Padres, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $392,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $425,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,381 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres	46c	55,555$25,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,555.28	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres	46c	55,457$25,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,364.59	501	53.5%268 W · 233 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	40,267$21,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,517.38	238	46.6%111 W · 127 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	40,000$21,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,400	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	26,801$14,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,328.35	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed San Diego Padres	9c	18,771$1,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,704.29	123	42.3%52 W · 71 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres	46c	15,904$7,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,316	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	12,950$6,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,956.99	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles	78c	12,659$9,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,829.53	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres	29c	7,423$2,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,115.6	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	7,149$3,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,222.73	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked San Diego Padres	4c	7,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres	9c	6,188$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.13	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres	46c	6,000$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,759.96	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres	45c	5,555$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.75	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres	33c	5,388$1,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,778.64	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres	0c	5,300$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles	76c	5,182$3,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,248.74	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed San Diego Padres	45c	4,955$2,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,205.07	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	4,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles	79c	3,727$2,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.85	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	3,273$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,472.73	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles	67c	2,906$1,932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.48	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres	45c	2,342$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.77	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	2,333$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.8	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-6.2wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-45%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Baltimore Orioles	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles	77c	1,963$1,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.43	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Baltimore Orioles	56c	1,956$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860.74	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles	79c	1,897$1,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.68	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres	46c	1,562$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.83	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles	59c	1,431$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.07	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed San Diego Padres	42c	1,346$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.14	174	46%80 W · 94 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres	46c	1,304$593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.31	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres	26c	1,017$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.42	912	52.4%478 W · 434 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed San Diego Padres	24c	992.55$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.15	547	15.9%87 W · 460 L	-40.7wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	984.62$537 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.5	481	47%226 W · 255 L	-31.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres	47c	846.49$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.06	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	840$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.2	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	804.39$442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.97	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed San Diego Padres	46c	782.6$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Baltimore Orioles	59c	763.64$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.64	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres	44c	730$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.7	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Baltimore Orioles	57c	700$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301	267	59.2%158 W · 109 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6862…8c75backed San Diego Padres	46c	695.65$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6980…27cfbacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	690.91$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.91	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed San Diego Padres	45c	676.13$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.26	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	671.69$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.26	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb327…e9fabacked Baltimore Orioles	56c	650$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed San Diego Padres	46c	637$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.02	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed San Diego Padres	17c	600$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	309	28.5%88 W · 221 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c6…d2dabacked San Diego Padres	44c	599.99$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.99	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	599.96$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.98	549	45.4%249 W · 300 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked San Diego Padres	51c	517$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.11	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	500.01$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.51	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked San Diego Padres	25c	499.99$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	367	29.4%108 W · 259 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	499.99$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	454.55$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.55	475	45.9%218 W · 257 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Baltimore Orioles	57c	438.6$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.6	221	53.4%118 W · 103 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	436.36$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.36	133	54.9%73 W · 60 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	403.4$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.5	377	48.8%184 W · 193 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked San Diego Padres	44c	401.21$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.52	1,310	43.6%571 W · 739 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked San Diego Padres	46c	400$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	210	57.6%121 W · 89 L	+13.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f8d…a92abacked San Diego Padres	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	237	54%128 W · 109 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Baltimore Orioles	75c	386.06$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.83	791	47.9%379 W · 412 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres	28c	381.53$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.58	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked San Diego Padres	46c	380.01$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.74	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed San Diego Padres	46c	379.44$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.21	384	44.3%170 W · 214 L	-13.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres	39c	372.71$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked San Diego Padres	46c	370.06$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.23	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres	36c	363.75$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.24	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x526b…5269backed San Diego Padres	26c	361.85$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.08	114	23.7%27 W · 87 L	-13.6wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed San Diego Padres	45c	360$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.2	1,277	43.1%550 W · 727 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed San Diego Padres	19c	331.13$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.93	229	48.5%111 W · 118 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	327.27$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.27	404	49.3%199 W · 205 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed San Diego Padres	7c	325.8$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	404	3.5%14 W · 390 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed San Diego Padres	44c	314.98$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.94	1,205	43%518 W · 687 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	305.56$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.56	164	56.7%93 W · 71 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	300$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135	506	47%238 W · 268 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked San Diego Padres	39c	296$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.87	158	40.5%64 W · 94 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Baltimore Orioles	74c	284.45$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.7	177	52.5%93 W · 84 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles	54c	277.78$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.78	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb6…a2fcbacked San Diego Padres	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	75	14.7%11 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	529	47.4%251 W · 278 L	-24.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	270$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.5	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd6e…4555backed San Diego Padres	46c	260.87$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked San Diego Padres	39c	254.15$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed San Diego Padres	35c	252.17$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.26	207	45.9%95 W · 112 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed San Diego Padres	7c	249.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	272	31.3%85 W · 187 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed San Diego Padres	37c	247.22$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.12	126	41.3%52 W · 74 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles	56c	240$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.36	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	236.36$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.36	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f1…c7ffbacked Baltimore Orioles	57c	234$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.62	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	229.63$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.63	139	51.8%72 W · 67 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Baltimore Orioles	55c	227.27$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.27	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked San Diego Padres	43c	226.15$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.24	243	46.9%114 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed San Diego Padres	30c	219.29$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.76	440	58.9%259 W · 181 L	+29.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked San Diego Padres	13c	218.45$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	263	15.6%41 W · 222 L	-11.9wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f9b…a181backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	218.15$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.17	205	43.9%90 W · 115 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Baltimore Orioles	71c	217$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.91	946	55.3%523 W · 423 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event