MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fc53c04db29af550c2f1c9168c89b857734127abcf2ef9d52fb9044474aab02

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: San Francisco Giantsof Washington Nationals, San Francisco Giants
Resolved: Jun 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,533,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,588,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,533,381 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbddf…c684backed San Francisco Giants	50c	416,730$208,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208,364.76	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Washington Nationals	50c	300,000$150,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150,000	133	40.6%54 W · 79 L	-14.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed San Francisco Giants	52c	146,359$76,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,990.19	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals	50c	125,555$62,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,777.5	1,414	49.5%700 W · 714 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed San Francisco Giants	50c	101,361$50,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,680.64	52	76.9%40 W · 12 L	+11.8wins	+0.23per pick	54cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals	49c	81,433$39,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,927.85	771	53.8%415 W · 356 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants	49c	45,550$22,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,150.51	983	49.8%490 W · 493 L	-18.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2862…5586backed San Francisco Giants	52c	37,501$19,501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,000.48	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Washington Nationals	51c	29,412$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Washington Nationals	48c	28,382$13,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,623.13	149	43.6%65 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals	70c	24,540$17,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,172.33	970	44.9%436 W · 534 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked San Francisco Giants	9c	21,888$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,887.86	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals	66c	20,876$13,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,778.76	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Washington Nationals	49c	20,187$9,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,842.23	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Washington Nationals	1c	18,910$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.83	1,003	44.6%447 W · 556 L	-23.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants	39c	16,806$6,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,220.77	3,041	48%1,461 W · 1,580 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants	31c	15,790$4,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,895.15	884	46.3%409 W · 475 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked San Francisco Giants	52c	15,400$8,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,392	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants	53c	14,388$7,675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,712.29	4,405	44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L	+80.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals	51c	14,345$7,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,316	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals	72c	14,193$10,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,173.03	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed San Francisco Giants	50c	13,724$6,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,862.07	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.27per pick	55cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Washington Nationals	51c	13,724$6,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,999.31	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.27per pick	46cpaid	+64.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants	50c	13,279$6,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,618.05	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed San Francisco Giants	57c	12,000$6,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,160	490	51%250 W · 240 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals	52c	11,667$6,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,073.56	4,368	47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L	-79.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Washington Nationals	18c	11,288$2,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,047.29	603	50.1%302 W · 301 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3695…c66cbacked Washington Nationals	46c	11,166$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.28per pick	50cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked San Francisco Giants	46c	8,232$3,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,449	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Washington Nationals	43c	7,350$3,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,165.21	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed San Francisco Giants	52c	6,365$3,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,055.38	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	60cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants	51c	6,065$3,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,959.31	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants	34c	5,969$2,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,911.51	1,520	59.1%899 W · 621 L	+78.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked San Francisco Giants	51c	5,700$2,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,793	199	50.3%100 W · 99 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2315…f55bbacked Washington Nationals	69c	5,635$3,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,887.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals	62c	5,404$3,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,326.89	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed San Francisco Giants	49c	5,102$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,602.04	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked San Francisco Giants	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,549.98	991	49.9%495 W · 496 L	-10.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals	49c	4,760$2,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,332.6	1,408	48.8%687 W · 721 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed San Francisco Giants	49c	3,890$1,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,984.04	285	53.3%152 W · 133 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed San Francisco Giants	50c	3,814$1,907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,906.82	900	53.6%482 W · 418 L	+24.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed San Francisco Giants	53c	3,760$1,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,767.2	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-5.7wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals	49c	3,644$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Nationals	50c	3,468$1,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,734.01	2,310	52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals	1c	3,450$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.63	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Washington Nationals	48c	3,427$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645.11	328	50.3%165 W · 163 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed San Francisco Giants	30c	3,333$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,333.33	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants	50c	3,272$1,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,647.28	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals	49c	3,171$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,549.85	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed San Francisco Giants	51c	3,162$1,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,549.48	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e29…5777backed Washington Nationals	5c	3,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.15per pick	5cpaid	+363.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,469.97	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc667…34cebacked San Francisco Giants	3c	2,980$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880.13	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	+156.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Washington Nationals	52c	2,646$1,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,365.86	320	58.4%187 W · 133 L	+26.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked San Francisco Giants	1c	2,613$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,589.58	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	+221.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Washington Nationals	5c	2,612$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.24	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+3.4wins	+0.26per pick	5cpaid	+609.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Washington Nationals	51c	2,549$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-6.2wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-45%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Washington Nationals	8c	2,500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	82	15.9%13 W · 69 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	8cpaid	+71.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed San Francisco Giants	11c	2,488$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,220.36	959	50.1%480 W · 479 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants	34c	2,381$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,562.88	4,187	50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L	+94.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants	8c	2,357$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,169.03	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Washington Nationals	75c	2,335$1,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,743.39	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Washington Nationals	71c	2,310$1,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633.92	1,121	44.1%494 W · 627 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants	52c	2,198$1,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.02	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked San Francisco Giants	31c	2,042$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,409.17	212	42%89 W · 123 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals	69c	2,032$1,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,401.85	2,149	50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L	+28.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Washington Nationals	51c	2,020$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.34	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed San Francisco Giants	56c	2,017$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.04	206	47.1%97 W · 109 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Washington Nationals	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	167	53.9%90 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Washington Nationals	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	222	57.2%127 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants	34c	1,970$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,304.23	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab0…7147backed Washington Nationals	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals	48c	1,742$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.23	2,375	47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed San Francisco Giants	16c	1,731$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,458.54	174	46%80 W · 94 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Washington Nationals	48c	1,719$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants	49c	1,674$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.98	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked San Francisco Giants	52c	1,605$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.45	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Washington Nationals	69c	1,531$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.78	880	46.4%408 W · 472 L	-22.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed San Francisco Giants	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8d…a8efbacked San Francisco Giants	3c	1,475$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,425	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Washington Nationals	14c	1,460$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	11cpaid	+117.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals	46c	1,430$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.93	2,044	39.5%808 W · 1,236 L	-24.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals	49c	1,428$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.92	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked San Francisco Giants	8c	1,421$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,309.99	64	15.6%10 W · 54 L	-8.0wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Washington Nationals	25c	1,291$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.13	419	36.5%153 W · 266 L	-31.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants	51c	1,247$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.03	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed San Francisco Giants	2c	1,219$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200.23	404	3.5%14 W · 390 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed San Francisco Giants	51c	1,200$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Washington Nationals	48c	1,175$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564	296	49.7%147 W · 149 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals	47c	1,158$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.18	1,293	47.3%611 W · 682 L	-18.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants	20c	1,103$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.24	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Washington Nationals	53c	1,061$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.74	148	58.8%87 W · 61 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Washington Nationals	2c	1,053$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.05	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	5cpaid	+88.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants	16c	1,021$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861.01	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Washington Nationals	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Francisco Giants	50c	1,000$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked San Francisco Giants	50c	979$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.5	712	53.4%380 W · 332 L	+12.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Washington Nationals	1c	962$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	687	69.6%478 W · 209 L	+60.4wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Washington Nationals	43c	950.51$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.4	445	56.9%253 W · 192 L	+27.5wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Washington Nationals	49c	918.37$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	161	46.6%75 W · 86 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event