MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b1bda4971a1696b0681ccb3c5441e500d1060ea3fa8abef314a1fa8af967cc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $528,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $526,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Under | 50c | 225,529$112,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,764.73 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 50c | 196,078$98,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,039 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 51c | 39,179$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Over | 50c | 30,116$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,116.43 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 53c | 27,937$14,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,830.77 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 62c | 27,915$17,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,417.48 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 24,756$9,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,969 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Under | 49c | 19,002$9,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,310.88 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 38c | 18,000$6,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.06 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Over | 46c | 16,546$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,946.04 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 49c | 13,466$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,872.64 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Under | 51c | 12,500$6,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,375 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 9,029$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 49c | 8,888$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.87 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 50c | 8,512$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.17 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 6,988$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,505.59 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 6,719$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372.87 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 50c | 6,668$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Under | 51c | 5,813$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.38 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 5,242$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.28 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under | 51c | 5,102$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.02 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 4,685$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 58c | 4,135$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.21 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 3,927$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.99 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 50c | 3,796$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 49c | 3,610$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.31 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 3,296$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.21 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under | 61c | 3,104$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.22 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Under | 51c | 2,880$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.75 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 2,766$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.22 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 2,432$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.86 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 2,382$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 44c | 2,306$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.64 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 45c | 2,221$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.34 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Over | 50c | 2,150$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 50c | 2,039$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.6 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 52c | 1,734$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.1 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 50c | 1,638$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.87 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 1,539$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,522$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 48c | 1,170$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.38 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 50c | 1,090$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.98 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Over | 52c | 1,057$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.52 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 50c | 820.32$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.16 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 56c | 733.16$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.57 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…829cbacked Over | 50c | 626.5$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.25 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Over | 50c | 588.24$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.12 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 529$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.08 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Over | 50c | 479.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Over | 45c | 465.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.25 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…9e4fbacked Over | 44c | 460.57$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.92 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 420$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 51c | 412$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 52c | 411.23$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…7f84backed Under | 52c | 405.77$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ec…6452backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…96cbbacked Under | 52c | 386.17$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 50c | 384.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.24 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Under | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 64c | 344.8$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 51c | 309$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.59 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 51c | 300.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…6007backed Over | 34c | 281.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Under | 50c | 270.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 268$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Under | 49c | 263.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…0201backed Over | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…c242backed Over | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 44c | 237.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.