MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b1e3bbbc177f124ae80e0919243ecbb4d00c1418dea343879204536465fff86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof St. Louis Cardinals, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,129,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,242,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,129,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 400,000$172,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,000 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets | 57c | 251,782$143,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,266.05 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Mets | 62c | 92,237$57,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,860.56 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Mets | 57c | 90,000$51,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,700 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed New York Mets | 58c | 68,464$39,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,754.79 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 54,496$30,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,407.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Mets | 57c | 48,000$27,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,639.92 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 26,498$11,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,058.64 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 22,000$7,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed New York Mets | 57c | 21,000$11,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,030 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 19,000$7,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 18,115$7,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,185.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 43c | 15,505$6,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,827.62 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 13,490$4,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.48 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 13,477$5,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,658.19 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 59c | 12,402$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084.69 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 12,312$6,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,011.59 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 12,082$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.15 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked New York Mets | 43c | 11,737$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,736.65 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 11,055$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.79 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.98 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 9,566$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 71c | 9,541$6,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.75 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 8,759$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,739.52 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…8decbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 7,800$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…5586backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 7,342$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Mets | 64c | 7,082$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.26 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 6,566$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.71 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…51dcbacked New York Mets | 45c | 6,207$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.18 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 46c | 6,005$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed New York Mets | 56c | 5,893$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.86 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed New York Mets | 60c | 5,512$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.45 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 5,459$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.22 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 5,292$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 5,066$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 58c | 4,767$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.1 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…34cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 4,369$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 3,899$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.3 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Mets | 55c | 3,750$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.48 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 3,554$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,509$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.01 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed New York Mets | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,984$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.37 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,743$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.51 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,678$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 48c | 2,623$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Mets | 72c | 2,391$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.58 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…5fb9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,357$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 57c | 2,158$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Mets | 72c | 2,119$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.02 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,102$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.67 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Mets | 57c | 2,065$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.96 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 1,810$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.17 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 1,765$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.72 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,730$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.32 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 52c | 1,667$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.36 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,634$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.13 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,486$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.86 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,364$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 1,219$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked New York Mets | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.07 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,179$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Mets | 56c | 1,164$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.16 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,160$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.96 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…160bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,045$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.35 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,016$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed New York Mets | 59c | 1,012$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.1 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 64c | 969.3$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.64 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed New York Mets | 58c | 932.43$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 912.74$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.48 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 904.99$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 891.01$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.24 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked New York Mets | 57c | 873.05$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.41 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 870.04$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.92 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 848.57$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.4 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 837.2$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 828$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.78 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked New York Mets | 57c | 820.62$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.87 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 811$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.73 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked New York Mets | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 783.97$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.19 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed New York Mets | 59c | 704.77$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.21 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…fe20backed New York Mets | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 650.7$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Mets | 50c | 642.63$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.46 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 630$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 613.46$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)New York Mets won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.