MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72623f2d6f9658617d7df011e52ff8def77a62d90e7c411bc2204cdeb41d7705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $633,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $654,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 330,000$191,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,600 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 297,216$124,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,830.62 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 61,197$25,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,702.67 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 59,937$34,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,173.67 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 45,000$25,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,349.87 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 35,724$15,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,361.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 30,710$13,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,205.38 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,899.92 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 12,614$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.79 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 12,465$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.74 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 12,028$5,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,521.91 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.92 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 11,904$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.64 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 10,224$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 7,727$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.38 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 5,160$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.72 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…0561backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 4,167$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 3,927$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.76 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,470$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.84 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 3,389$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,076$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.92 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,931$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 2,890$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,291$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Washington Nationals | 2c | 2,261$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,257$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.38 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,092$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.43 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Washington Nationals | 2c | 1,804$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 1,778$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,598$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.29 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,446$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 1,363$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…a160backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,235$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,175$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.62 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,110$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.7 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 730.09$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.24 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 723.95$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.06 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 704.96$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.28 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e47…3475backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 691.38$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7d…26c4backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 682.52$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.66 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…afc0backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 679.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 668.28$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.68 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 600$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 568.65$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 540$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 535.45$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.46 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 514.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…c034backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 508.47$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 499.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 498.28$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 478$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.54 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 476.48$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 474.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 459.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 447.8$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 440.36$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.16 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 439.53$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 416.7$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6607…5bd9backed Washington Nationals | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 399.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 389.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.81 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 383.72$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 366.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 347.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 346.41$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…e875backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 335.74$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.37 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 331.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 311$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.62 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 302.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 300.87$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Washington Nationals | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Washington Nationals | 35c | 280.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 277.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 257.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.97 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.