MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38fb4ceda27a1d1ea63e8c28b4a69043a39e947662500564763879e2691b7a70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 200,000$97,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,999.95 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 51c | 105,298$53,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,748.01 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 93,395$48,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,075.82 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 53c | 86,459$45,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,445.02 | 444 | 46.8%208 W · 236 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 51,711$24,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,896.24 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 48c | 41,100$19,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,577 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 52c | 24,287$12,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,629.04 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 22,420$11,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,919.44 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 15,717$8,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,266.7 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 14,280$6,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,425.6 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 47c | 10,415$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500.96 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 53c | 7,840$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.88 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 6,482$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.87 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Under | 51c | 4,133$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.83 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 2,561$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.52 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,889$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.11 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 41c | 1,577$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.84 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 48c | 1,368$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.36 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,067$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.51 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 52c | 1,063$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.79 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 1,035$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 1,035$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.51 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under | 53c | 690.57$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 687.2$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 645.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 53c | 579.04$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.89 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 54c | 456$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 49c | 260$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 53c | 182.43$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 64c | 170.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 50c | 161.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 50c | 123.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…dc88backed Over | 46c | 112$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 50c | 110.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 45c | 62.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddc…7b90backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Over | 48c | 62.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…97c4backed Under | 51c | 59.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 25c | 59.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 34c | 55.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 53.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 48c | 51.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 49c | 47.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 43.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 43.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 42.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 48c | 42.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 575 | 51.7%297 W · 278 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Over | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 250 | 34.8%87 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Over | 48c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 50c | 40.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…c784backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 54.1%120 W · 102 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Under | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Under | 55c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 50c | 34.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 47c | 30.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…f631backed Under | 52c | 28.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c0…e423backed Under | 54c | 28.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 27.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 50c | 25.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9d38backed Over | 50c | 25.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington NationalsSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.