TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72bc…c332

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
429
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 203 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+210.3%+$448.84
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.4
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$325
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.32
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$426.85
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$131.32
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.23
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.29
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.75
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130.63
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$532.53
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$181.22
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.04
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$5,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,023.85
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.63
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.66
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.2
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.46
Showing 25 of 203 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT18332.2%59 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 183 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+243.6%+$31.93
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,921.53
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$240
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.32
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$323.89
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+183.4%+$210.73
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.89
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.61
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.14
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.7
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+159.4%+$1,955.12
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.34
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.17
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.77
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.52
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.16
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$120.32
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.75
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$40.16
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.02
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$363.62
Showing 25 of 183 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-37.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.68
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.46
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.96
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$119.54
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.4
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.4
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81.99
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.47
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$430.76
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.41
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.38
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 20 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$263.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$149.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.