MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcf08fabd8862eb3ad019b24357af3763cbc8ed13e17f3a9d08b597e8831ee2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $448,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 200,000$101,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,682.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 82,267$40,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,956.07 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 36,587$17,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,659.5 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 14,983$7,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,641.37 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 13,101$8,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 32c | 10,072$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 9,456$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.9 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 7,148$5,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.72 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…4201backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 6,259$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.64 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 5,882$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 5,774$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.63 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.98 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 4,835$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.64 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.23 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 3,754$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.86 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…ddcbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 3,660$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 20c | 3,374$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 3,332$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.2 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 3,328$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.06 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 3,296$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,855$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.11 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,855$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.11 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 2,622$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.17 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 2,210$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.04 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 7c | 2,002$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,913$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.76 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,836$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.33 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,820$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 1,744$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.52 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,568$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.67 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 1,552$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 1,500$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,440$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.34 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,428$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.05 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,403$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.96 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,151$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.39 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,066$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 1,006$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.23 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 991.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.6 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 885.52$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.73 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 818.9$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.02 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Minnesota Twins | 4c | 748.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 729$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 635.68$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 594.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.14 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 591.98$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.63 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 583.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.62 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 576.01$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 575.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.99 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 573.51$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.49 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 563$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 559.7$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.7 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 541.48$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.74 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 505.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 499.82$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 462$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 451.77$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.74 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 438$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 435.83$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 430$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…61febacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 420.53$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 411.71$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…9efcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 380.95$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 369.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 363.75$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.51 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 356$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 330$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 294.08$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 290.32$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 285$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 282.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…1082backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Minnesota Twins | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 235.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 234.06$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…09d9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 233$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota TwinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.