TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Bears

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ramsof Rams, Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,527,242
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,389,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,527,242 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,423 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1af1…0f7bbacked Rams66c1,451,312$957,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493,448.461070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Bears35c1,037,810$362,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362,605.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bears35c780,205$269,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269,848.8912055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bears34c702,125$238,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238,722.567554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rams65c687,680$448,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238,976.8730043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rams65c639,134$416,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222,892.8927454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Bears35c500,000$175,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174,999.932025%5 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bears35c443,011$156,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,837.1547348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Bears35c380,000$133,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,999.9910333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rams65c333,333$216,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,666.5517454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb4…d892backed Rams65c270,000$175,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rams65c262,476$170,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,866.619152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rams64c236,098$150,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,042.8811643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Bears34c215,545$74,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,140.891735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Bears35c200,000$70,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,0003737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Rams65c200,000$130,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,0003050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Rams65c170,000$110,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,5001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Bears34c162,133$55,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,338.7422450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Rams64c156,250$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,249.842657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Bears35c150,403$52,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,641.195431.5%17 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Rams67c149,286$100,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,269.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Rams65c137,000$89,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,950650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bears35c135,293$47,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,352.711544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rams63c128,533$80,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,765.9616955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bears35c102,885$36,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,424.5847738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Bears30c102,457$30,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,858.8318156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Rams69c101,318$69,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,804.9420755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d76…eb01backed Rams65c95,385$62,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,384.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Bears27c93,145$25,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,190.463040%12 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2db…aa08backed Bears35c86,694$30,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,279.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Rams67c86,429$58,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,228.774555.6%25 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Rams62c80,988$49,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,046.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Bears37c79,198$28,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,907.274456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Bears34c76,244$25,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,922.922450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Bears41c70,000$28,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,597.923548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Rams65c65,000$42,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,7501060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Bears35c62,556$21,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,894.581428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-47.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Rams64c62,283$39,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,421.951968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2148…0599backed Rams65c61,538$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,538.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Bears36c60,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,60023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rams61c60,000$36,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,672.6524652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Rams65c55,721$36,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,502.46459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bears23c55,687$12,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,879.2820026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Rams61c55,000$33,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,449.9924957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Bears45c51,759$23,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,257.95250%26 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rams76c51,596$39,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,402.0212944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf675…dfbfbacked Bears0c51,169$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Rams65c50,000$32,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,599.9616051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rams66c48,516$32,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,313.4123244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Bears36c46,095$16,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,594.361414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-64.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Rams64c46,094$29,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,592.614440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe43…244dbacked Bears0c45,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Bears24c42,253$10,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,259.79219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Bears36c41,357$14,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,996.326028.3%17 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Bears35c40,000$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.995154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bears41c36,409$14,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,962.1127348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Bears40c35,000$14,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,049.981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Rams66c34,515$22,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,614.8728447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Rams65c30,769$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,769.23887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Rams66c29,110$19,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,907.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+93.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…1ec1backed Bears36c29,000$10,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4402218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Rams65c28,304$18,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,906.546764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Bears34c27,500$9,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,429.9914438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Bears37c26,673$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9992343.5%10 W · 13 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bears44c26,630$11,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,830.214349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Bears49c26,256$12,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,992.816459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d19…733abacked Rams65c25,148$16,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,801.921957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b29…9108backed Bears34c23,983$8,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,09130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Rams65c23,907$15,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,367.392369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Rams56c23,246$13,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,218.525356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Bears74c23,149$17,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,189.23070%21 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Rams65c23,042$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,041.962661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bears34c22,214$7,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,552.8730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bears34c20,316$6,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,841.0983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b3…04e1backed Rams75c20,000$14,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Bears35c17,063$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00018650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Bears30c16,617$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.0840%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c05…8cd5backed Rams62c16,596$10,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,326.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f38…2e85backed Bears30c16,436$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.69728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bears35c16,072$5,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,625.523033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Bears43c16,063$6,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,949.0922142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Rams65c16,000$10,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5904544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8675…5541backed Bears0c15,890$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84c…c193backed Rams64c15,510$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,519.54944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rams64c15,495$9,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,522.5273651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Rams65c15,415$10,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,395.172680.8%21 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+37.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Rams65c15,369$9,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,440.993256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Rams65c14,997$9,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.15236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Rams66c14,679$9,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990.792564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Bears36c14,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f10…76b3backed Rams65c13,451$8,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,690.471729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-52.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Rams62c13,166$8,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,951.51090%9 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.39per pick51cpaid+97.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Rams61c13,153$8,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,129.7910462.5%65 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rams61c13,127$8,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,111.5175852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Rams61c13,000$7,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0902744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Rams65c13,000$8,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5502740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Rams65c12,500$8,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,325.2724053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Bears34c12,489$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.363138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed Bears35c12,348$4,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,321.742850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Rams65c12,235$7,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,282.259447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.