NFL · resolved market
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57bfd30215d53080b28fc9cc036ea9a8757afa2111021c46207483c070db9198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Rams, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,691,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,708,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,691,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 550 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bears | 49c | 1,252,972$612,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640,345.73 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Bears | 49c | 596,819$292,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304,377.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0273backed Rams | 51c | 371,071$189,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,246.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Rams | 51c | 203,220$103,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,642.15 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Rams | 51c | 201,692$102,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,863.09 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Rams | 51c | 198,538$101,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,116.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rams | 51c | 170,879$87,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,815.09 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Rams | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,500 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rams | 51c | 149,479$76,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,234.29 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Rams | 52c | 141,648$73,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,296.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Rams | 51c | 139,613$71,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,202.77 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bears | 48c | 128,826$61,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,989.66 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Bears | 49c | 92,839$45,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,353.24 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rams | 52c | 54,215$28,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,191.8 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bears | 49c | 51,375$25,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,201.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rams | 52c | 44,014$22,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,887.28 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Bears | 48c | 43,782$21,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,693.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Rams | 51c | 41,500$21,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,165 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Bears | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Rams | 52c | 40,000$20,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,600 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…2b2ebacked Rams | 51c | 38,000$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,250 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Rams | 52c | 36,432$18,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,944.63 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rams | 51c | 30,000$15,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,150 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Bears | 48c | 24,000$11,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,480 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Rams | 51c | 22,573$11,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,512.08 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rams | 51c | 21,451$10,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,940.19 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Rams | 51c | 21,391$10,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,909.41 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Rams | 52c | 21,154$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rams | 51c | 20,732$10,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600.91 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Bears | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Bears | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Rams | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Rams | 52c | 20,000$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Rams | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Bears | 49c | 19,339$9,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,906.27 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Rams | 47c | 17,542$8,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,261.32 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Bears | 68c | 17,336$11,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,496.61 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3884…94c5backed Rams | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,159.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4736…79e8backed Rams | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bears | 48c | 14,519$6,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,549.96 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…efebbacked Rams | 52c | 13,422$6,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,972.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Rams | 67c | 12,500$8,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,375 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Bears | 49c | 12,240$5,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,242.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rams | 52c | 12,000$6,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,210 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe796…7f5ebacked Bears | 49c | 10,367$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.66 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Rams | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Rams | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Rams | 46c | 9,031$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rams | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Rams | 51c | 7,630$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Bears | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Bears | 48c | 7,461$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.72 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Bears | 49c | 7,082$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.63 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Rams | 51c | 6,863$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bears | 54c | 6,780$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.04 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Rams | 32c | 6,571$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.26 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bears | 79c | 6,468$5,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.3 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Rams | 52c | 6,346$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bears | 49c | 6,250$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Rams | 32c | 6,231$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.58 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Rams | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Bears | 69c | 5,445$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.96 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Bears | 51c | 5,103$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.03 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bears | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Rams | 52c | 5,000$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bears | 49c | 4,317$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Rams | 51c | 4,116$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.35 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -7.0wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -48%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Bears | 70c | 4,007$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.09 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bears | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rams | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Bears | 49c | 3,941$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.82 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Rams | 52c | 3,878$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.39 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bears | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.55 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bears | 49c | 3,684$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.72 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Rams | 72c | 3,584$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rams | 44c | 3,167$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.65 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Rams | 52c | 3,100$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bears | 48c | 3,003$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.8 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Bears | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Rams | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Rams | 51c | 2,922$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Bears | 64c | 2,705$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.55 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…530abacked Rams | 52c | 2,654$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bears | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…0c54backed Rams | 52c | 2,355$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Rams | 64c | 2,319$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.72 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Rams | 52c | 2,077$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Bears | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Rams | 51c | 2,033$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bears | 49c | 2,029$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.57 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Rams | 51c | 2,017$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.67 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Rams | 51c | 2,012$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.17 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bears | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Rams | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Bears | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Rams | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Rams | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.07 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rams | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Rams | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…bc09backed Rams | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rams (-2.5)Bears won
- Bears Team Total: O/U 27.5Under won
- Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5Over won
- Colston Loveland: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- D'Andre Swift: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Davante Adams: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kyren Williams: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Puka Nacua: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rams vs. BearsRams won
- Rams vs. Bears: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5Under won
- Rome Odunze: Anytime TouchdownNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.