NFL · resolved market
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fab318a9e5eb7cbd6988b2ab26264ea8c0e80dc4012280fa90bbac138675545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $984,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $997,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $984,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 52c | 248,222$127,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,866.85 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Under | 47c | 194,078$90,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,408.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Over | 53c | 114,279$60,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,567.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 102,780$49,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,213.84 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 6c | 99,901$5,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,994.06 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 53c | 90,000$47,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,299.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 47c | 71,000$33,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,420 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 54c | 65,000$34,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,974.99 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Under | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.94 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Over | 53c | 39,502$20,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,925.59 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 51c | 31,474$16,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,051.76 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,250 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Over | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Under | 49c | 17,239$8,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,791.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 16,242$7,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,608.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 38c | 15,229$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.7 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Under | 48c | 14,983$7,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,791.33 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 14,258$7,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,545.8 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 53c | 13,465$7,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083.28 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Under | 67c | 11,000$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Under | 50c | 10,509$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.48 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 47c | 10,273$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.91 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 46c | 9,767$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,274.18 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…e929backed Under | 47c | 8,018$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,249.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Over | 49c | 7,774$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 54c | 6,767$3,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Under | 48c | 6,508$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Under | 48c | 6,220$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 35c | 5,990$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.35 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Over | 12c | 5,944$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.18 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…d54abacked Over | 51c | 5,900$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 5,795$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.51 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe798…d58dbacked Over | 51c | 5,690$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc721…912ebacked Under | 49c | 5,560$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b81…0032backed Under | 49c | 5,530$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 5,225$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.25 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…78e6backed Under | 62c | 5,123$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…bc34backed Under | 49c | 4,727$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Over | 52c | 4,593$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccf…aedcbacked Over | 51c | 4,434$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…e4a9backed Over | 51c | 4,393$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…b40dbacked Under | 49c | 4,363$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…4a26backed Under | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…81d3backed Under | 49c | 4,005$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…9c38backed Under | 49c | 3,950$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…65cdbacked Under | 49c | 3,863$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4a…d409backed Over | 51c | 3,800$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…be7cbacked Under | 49c | 3,563$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 48c | 3,359$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.26 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe71e…1dc2backed Under | 49c | 3,278$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f02…9da5backed Under | 49c | 3,250$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 3,160$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.45 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…dcafbacked Under | 49c | 3,089$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fd…c088backed Under | 49c | 3,054$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…b2b4backed Under | 49c | 2,747$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1e…c0b0backed Under | 49c | 2,676$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa385…86e5backed Under | 49c | 2,538$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…0d47backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 2,313$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.58 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb72…00b2backed Under | 49c | 2,259$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Under | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.66 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7153…ee0cbacked Under | 49c | 2,177$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Over | 52c | 2,075$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.54 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 2,071$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.92 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Over | 49c | 2,068$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 52c | 2,046$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.57 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 53c | 2,043$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…3bd6backed Over | 51c | 2,011$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f60…e370backed Over | 51c | 1,929$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Under | 66c | 1,918$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.12 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…f69ebacked Over | 51c | 1,874$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Under | 48c | 1,743$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Under | 48c | 1,709$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd446…bb6fbacked Over | 51c | 1,674$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked Under | 48c | 1,665$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…bc3ebacked Over | 51c | 1,661$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c9…18ddbacked Over | 51c | 1,626$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…e020backed Over | 51c | 1,626$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…9c48backed Under | 45c | 1,569$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.58 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…7e78backed Over | 51c | 1,544$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5d…2a11backed Over | 51c | 1,522$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9e6ebacked Over | 51c | 1,485$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…5527backed Over | 51c | 1,478$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rams (-2.5)Bears won
- Bears Team Total: O/U 27.5Under won
- Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5Over won
- Colston Loveland: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- D'Andre Swift: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Davante Adams: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Kyren Williams: Anytime TouchdownYes won
- Puka Nacua: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Rams vs. BearsRams won
- Rams vs. Bears: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Rome Odunze: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.