TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f5a…4a26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Mika Petkovic vs Arthur Geabacked Mika Petkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,074.1
Geneva Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Tyler Zinkbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$127.01
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$36.67
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$632.32
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Istanbul: Alice Tubello vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,717.67
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+57%+$505.01
Wuxi: Keegan Smith vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$125
Wuxi: Bernard Tomic vs Alafia Ayenibacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Gwangju: Hyeon Chung vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.52
Shymkent: Max Wiskandt vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,651.1
Abidjan: Sebastian Gima vs Niels Viskerbacked Niels Visker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$2,628.87
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Maximus Jonesbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,734Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$1,386.56
Gwangju: Clement Chidekh vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,557Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,557.3
Busan: Leandro Riedi vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,787.53
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$9,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,756.97
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19,601Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$9,764.88
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12,659Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$7,358.05
Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Robin Montgomerybacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$3,442.93
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$6,263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$3,212.52
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,902Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$1,869.81
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,026Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$1,576.14
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,951.88
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+440.1%+$9,241.16
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+73.1%+$100.54
Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$352.17
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+139%+$166.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$440
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$530
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$318.18
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$2,255.32
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$816.9
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$687.82
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,340
Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$255.56
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+74.4%+$181.73
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+233.4%+$630.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.65
Penguins vs. Devils: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+74%+$55.48
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$925.44
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
Avalanche vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+88.3%+$176.54
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$2,000
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$140.63
Spread: Miami (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+91.5%+$67.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+144.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,769.76
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$471.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+203%+$609.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,018.06
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+211%+$4,873.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$303.4
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$200.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+84.6%+$6,766.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$6,938.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,933.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.