TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Mika Petkovic vs Arthur Gea

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arthur Geaof Mika Petkovic, Arthur Gea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Mika Petkovic23c7,823$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79511843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Arthur Gea75c5,581$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.141,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ce9…61e5backed Mika Petkovic48c4,850$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.2811547%54 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f5a…4a26backed Mika Petkovic53c3,930$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.12259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Arthur Gea69c3,189$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.3494068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Arthur Gea72c3,006$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.151,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Arthur Gea46c2,749$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.318,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Arthur Gea71c1,335$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.721,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Arthur Gea76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24046551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arthur Gea65c926.47$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.158,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Mika Petkovic53c924.53$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Mika Petkovic42c753.81$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.626555.8%148 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Arthur Gea68c735.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2832763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mika Petkovic29c702.5$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.949,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Mika Petkovic32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mika Petkovic32c680.22$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.587,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Arthur Gea50c595.65$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8314225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Arthur Gea73c557.6$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4921567.4%145 W · 70 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Arthur Gea68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16030857.1%176 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Arthur Gea54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9687337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mika Petkovic29c462.33$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.182,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb962…8519backed Mika Petkovic34c422.21$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.552733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Arthur Gea66c403.28$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.123,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Mika Petkovic36c389.88$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.384,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Mika Petkovic14c332.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5648214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mika Petkovic43c327$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.434,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Mika Petkovic33c321.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.264143.9%18 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Arthur Gea71c296.83$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.064,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Mika Petkovic26c279.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.22,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Mika Petkovic34c221.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Arthur Gea68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5968350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Arthur Gea60c215.89$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8986470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Arthur Gea63c210.79$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.342,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Arthur Gea63c208$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.967,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Mika Petkovic54c203.22$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7427446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Mika Petkovic55c181.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6921641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Arthur Gea67c179.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.126457.6%152 W · 112 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed Mika Petkovic35c177.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623250%16 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Mika Petkovic42c166.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7049943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Gea66c163.56$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.645,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Mika Petkovic14c152.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2567838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Mika Petkovic14c151.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2532935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Arthur Gea68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0654249.3%267 W · 275 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Arthur Gea69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9373350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Arthur Gea62c140.45$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0355243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Mika Petkovic27c118.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Arthur Gea72c107.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2267178.7%528 W · 143 L+49.1wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mika Petkovic23c107.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.136,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Arthur Gea72c105$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7559253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Mika Petkovic14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03b9…dc25backed Arthur Gea73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Mika Petkovic32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Mika Petkovic29c96.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2835436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Arthur Gea52c94.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2544527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Arthur Gea71c90.22$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.742,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b6…70ffbacked Arthur Gea45c73.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3320352.2%106 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Arthur Gea69c72.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.715354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Arthur Gea73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4918156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Mika Petkovic56c53.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Mika Petkovic33c45.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9751644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Arthur Gea52c40.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.392,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Arthur Gea69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.468430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Arthur Gea74c38.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.061,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a0…3a2fbacked Mika Petkovic33c31.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59335.5%33 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9413…d004backed Arthur Gea80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.254856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Arthur Gea66c31.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6152750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b4…fa63backed Arthur Gea65c30.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.546259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x334b…e0b7backed Arthur Gea52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-64.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Mika Petkovic49c27.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5783047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Arthur Gea75c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7511891.5%108 W · 10 L+17.4wins+0.15per pick77cpaid+19.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Arthur Gea51c25.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4981933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed Arthur Gea80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b59…2044backed Arthur Gea62c24.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.37668.4%52 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Arthur Gea56c22.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6674346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0029…f1c2backed Arthur Gea54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.127152.1%37 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-8.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Arthur Gea63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.493557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1479…b778backed Arthur Gea67c19.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.412954.3%70 W · 59 L-10.5wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe516…1d31backed Arthur Gea73c18.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8817962.6%112 W · 67 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Arthur Gea67c16.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.342,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Arthur Gea68c15.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8133661.3%206 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…fba8backed Arthur Gea75c13.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3638074.5%283 W · 97 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.