TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0029…f1c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Weather, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Weather at 49 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT7152.1%37 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-8.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulterbacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.04
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.16
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.17
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamensbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.04
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.76
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Belluccibacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardybacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.59
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.42
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$30.86
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.04
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Vicenza: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.21
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.05
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.05
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.27
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$138.85
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$791
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$187.35
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$76.44
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$78
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$165.75
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.6
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$82.25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$52.8
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.64
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.8
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.