TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rafael Jodarof Rafael Jodar, Pablo Carreno Busta
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,849,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,092,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,849,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 964 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fa0…be6dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta24c218,357$52,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,421.695536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pablo Carreno Busta26c142,102$36,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,776.828,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Rafael Jodar74c100,677$74,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,711.6521642.6%92 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta41c82,241$33,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,494.764,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Rafael Jodar70c70,327$49,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,2783655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Rafael Jodar57c67,064$38,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,984.877062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta22c60,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.936141%25 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Pablo Carreno Busta24c59,503$14,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,176.2310146.5%47 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pablo Carreno Busta63c57,902$36,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,617.41,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc117…de2fbacked Rafael Jodar59c57,616$34,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,533.031850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta14c55,978$8,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,079.5421743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Pablo Carreno Busta26c48,630$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50036247%170 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Pablo Carreno Busta52c48,348$25,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,033.0327154.2%147 W · 124 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Rafael Jodar42c46,165$19,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,728.11330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Rafael Jodar51c41,198$21,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,030.9413843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Rafael Jodar50c37,543$18,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,852.989138.5%35 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Pablo Carreno Busta13c35,404$4,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,746.2227431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x154e…fbdebacked Pablo Carreno Busta20c31,579$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3003016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Rafael Jodar76c30,379$22,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,394.7411941.2%49 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Pablo Carreno Busta22c26,070$5,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,719.124741.7%103 W · 144 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rafael Jodar74c24,393$17,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,397.575541.8%23 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Rafael Jodar26c23,644$6,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,558.2830827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Pablo Carreno Busta68c22,508$15,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,394.324,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Rafael Jodar58c20,624$11,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,670.364845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Pablo Carreno Busta64c20,101$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,80043863.9%280 W · 158 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta36c19,427$7,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,026.521526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Pablo Carreno Busta56c19,270$10,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,835.1657939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Rafael Jodar45c18,423$8,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,053.66040%24 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Pablo Carreno Busta14c17,306$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.891618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3695…c66cbacked Rafael Jodar29c14,926$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,605.926549.2%32 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Rafael Jodar29c14,689$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,392.235244.6%157 W · 195 L-20.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Pablo Carreno Busta64c14,324$9,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,167.0916961.5%104 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Pablo Carreno Busta15c14,212$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.7675046.8%351 W · 399 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Rafael Jodar34c14,000$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,239.984645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Pablo Carreno Busta31c13,450$4,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,168.0139043.6%170 W · 220 L+21.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Rafael Jodar53c11,993$6,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,670.281747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Pablo Carreno Busta45c11,612$5,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,234.8845044%198 W · 252 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69d2…22fbbacked Pablo Carreno Busta2c10,625$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Rafael Jodar26c10,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,4002236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50015832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Pablo Carreno Busta69c9,900$6,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,804.9510438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Pablo Carreno Busta60c9,287$5,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,548.741,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Pablo Carreno Busta23c9,130$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10040748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Rafael Jodar77c9,000$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.998940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pablo Carreno Busta38c8,918$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,347.686,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x749e…1090backed Pablo Carreno Busta25c8,500$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.059935.4%35 W · 64 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Pablo Carreno Busta19c8,346$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.731,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Rafael Jodar78c8,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta29c7,980$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Rafael Jodar26c7,815$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,783.211040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3837…c6b0backed Rafael Jodar66c7,733$5,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.941266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed Rafael Jodar59c7,326$4,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.794062.5%25 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Rafael Jodar57c7,312$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.6193168.1%634 W · 297 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Rafael Jodar41c7,230$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.8532353.6%173 W · 150 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Rafael Jodar28c7,143$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,142.863441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Rafael Jodar75c7,032$5,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.3365952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9f…26e8backed Rafael Jodar59c7,000$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.998647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta49c6,906$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.9412752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Pablo Carreno Busta48c6,757$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.281,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Rafael Jodar30c6,533$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,570.7241645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked Pablo Carreno Busta78c6,500$5,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0709259.8%55 W · 37 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-12.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Pablo Carreno Busta70c6,486$4,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,566.294944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Pablo Carreno Busta21c6,252$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.1643449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Pablo Carreno Busta79c5,877$4,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,642.745563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Rafael Jodar30c5,839$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.475425.9%14 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Rafael Jodar42c5,714$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.299764.9%63 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed Rafael Jodar77c5,617$4,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.448045%36 W · 44 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Rafael Jodar79c5,594$4,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.0499049.4%489 W · 501 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Rafael Jodar79c5,555$4,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.5515048%72 W · 78 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b90…5fb9backed Rafael Jodar39c5,231$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.839047.8%43 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae51…1d03backed Rafael Jodar40c5,217$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.7115453.9%83 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rafael Jodar74c5,035$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.612,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Pablo Carreno Busta73c5,013$3,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.2727048.1%130 W · 140 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Pablo Carreno Busta22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10014052.9%74 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta21c4,700$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98745036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rafael Jodar49c4,577$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.088,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Rafael Jodar40c4,570$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.326847.8%128 W · 140 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Pablo Carreno Busta29c4,373$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.431,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Rafael Jodar53c4,368$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.8562956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pablo Carreno Busta43c4,077$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.3411,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Pablo Carreno Busta28c4,050$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.643,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Pablo Carreno Busta38c4,029$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rafael Jodar77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.999741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Pablo Carreno Busta17c3,961$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6707530.7%23 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed Rafael Jodar64c3,935$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.287450%37 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Rafael Jodar50c3,769$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.5211552.2%60 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Rafael Jodar76c3,749$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Rafael Jodar58c3,509$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.724,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Rafael Jodar55c3,480$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.2611646.6%54 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Pablo Carreno Busta63c3,479$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.012,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Rafael Jodar78c3,449$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.7858745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rafael Jodar76c3,389$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.881,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta42c3,300$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38974343.7%325 W · 418 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec2…9ce0backed Pablo Carreno Busta25c3,242$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.491361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick36cpaid+98%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Pablo Carreno Busta20c3,200$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.994431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pablo Carreno Busta22c3,150$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6938721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Rafael Jodar43c3,043$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.4362345.4%283 W · 340 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta72c3,042$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.137061.4%43 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Pablo Carreno Busta20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60092655.9%518 W · 408 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Rafael Jodar37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89020653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.