Tennis · resolved market
Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ea0179cd60aabee463fa86e92a2ffcf1ba110f261c1968003b4e97a4084137e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 10,674$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.75 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a7…0792backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 6,961$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…ff17backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 6,314$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.58 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over 3.5 | 59c | 4,256$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.79 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Under 3.5 | 40c | 2,126$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.94 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under 3.5 | 39c | 1,493$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.58 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under 3.5 | 41c | 1,479$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.39 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 1,294$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.39 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 1,188$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under 3.5 | 41c | 1,139$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.1 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 41c | 883.69$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.86 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…6907backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 840.4$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.4 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 838.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.81 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 3.5 | 41c | 691.7$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.6 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under 3.5 | 40c | 578.3$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 505.96$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.35 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 423.49$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under 3.5 | 41c | 368.93$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 339.01$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 326.67$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under 3.5 | 42c | 301.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Over 3.5 | 59c | 255.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under 3.5 | 44c | 229.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 213$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under 3.5 | 40c | 211.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Over 3.5 | 58c | 199.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Over 3.5 | 59c | 195.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under 3.5 | 40c | 195$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 349 | 57.6%201 W · 148 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over 3.5 | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 159.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 151.8$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 3.5 | 41c | 136.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 264 | 57.6%152 W · 112 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under 3.5 | 41c | 119.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 45c | 107.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 101.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over 3.5 | 51c | 99.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under 3.5 | 39c | 95.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over 3.5 | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under 3.5 | 41c | 87.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7469backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 87.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…bb56backed Over 3.5 | 59c | 85.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Over 3.5 | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under 3.5 | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under 3.5 | 41c | 76.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under 3.5 | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Under 3.5 | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Under 3.5 | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Under 3.5 | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Over 3.5 | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…d6fabacked Under 3.5 | 40c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under 3.5 | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under 3.5 | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291c…f1a9backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 40.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over 3.5 | 58c | 40.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Over 3.5 | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Under 3.5 | 49c | 32.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Over 3.5 | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over 3.5 | 65c | 28.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…324dbacked Over 3.5 | 59c | 25.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under 3.5 | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Over 3.5 | 59c | 23.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Over 3.5 | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Over 3.5 | 60c | 21.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over 3.5 | 56c | 20.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under 3.5 | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…224abacked Over 3.5 | 60c | 16.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaRafael Jodar won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs BustaBusta won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)Busta won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)Busta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.