Tennis · resolved market
Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e93139320a447c8c52627a94a35b720386c903c3e84496708290948858e8022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 9,332$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,586.89 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 51c | 3,923$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.98 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a1…9b15backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 50c | 1,545$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.15 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.59 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,431$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.12 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 52c | 1,116$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.32 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…acbbbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 50c | 799.91$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.71 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 50c | 665.66$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.37 | 428 | 41.6%178 W · 250 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Over | 47c | 512.17$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.57 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over | 48c | 508$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.16 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 51c | 486.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 48c | 415.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.91 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Under | 50c | 379.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 51c | 364.22$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.31 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 49c | 266.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 54c | 251.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.59 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 49c | 244.54$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Over | 51c | 234.88$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…a455backed Under | 52c | 202.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over | 51c | 196.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 53c | 192$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over | 48c | 116.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 107.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Over | 49c | 102.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…4ec7backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Over | 50c | 98.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 51c | 77.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 70.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 820 | 55%451 W · 369 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 52c | 65.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 585 | 53%310 W · 275 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 64.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 93 | 74.2%69 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…178bbacked Over | 54c | 55.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 49c | 50.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Under | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Under | 52c | 28.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 56c | 28.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 50c | 24.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d84…7b78backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaRafael Jodar won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs BustaBusta won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)Busta won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)Busta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.