Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa30cbbc7d49706bcf1f9b4c1743fd1b2bb34b8ede0ea0479241bfe95a92e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bustaof Jodar, Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jodar | 66c | 4,444$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.03 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Busta | 34c | 3,406$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.93 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Busta | 38c | 1,619$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.28 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Jodar | 1c | 1,337$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Busta | 35c | 1,116$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.39 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Busta | 34c | 871.64$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.28 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Jodar | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Jodar | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Jodar | 65c | 539.18$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…5412backed Jodar | 62c | 484.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Busta | 35c | 472.11$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Busta | 35c | 459.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.83 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jodar | 66c | 424.5$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.17 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Busta | 34c | 424.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.17 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Jodar | 60c | 326.71$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Jodar | 65c | 325.62$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Jodar | 64c | 311.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…78a7backed Jodar | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Busta | 40c | 259.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Busta | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Busta | 34c | 240$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Jodar | 65c | 238.46$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Busta | 40c | 231.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Busta | 35c | 227.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Busta | 40c | 225$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Jodar | 66c | 224.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Jodar | 63c | 169.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Jodar | 66c | 162.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Jodar | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Jodar | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Busta | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Busta | 36c | 107.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Jodar | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Busta | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Busta | 35c | 81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Busta | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Jodar | 65c | 76.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…71aabacked Jodar | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…9b27backed Busta | 37c | 62.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Busta | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Busta | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Jodar | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…dd5ebacked Busta | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Busta | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Jodar | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Jodar | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Jodar | 62c | 22.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Jodar | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jodar | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jodar | 68c | 15.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Jodar | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)this page
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaRafael Jodar won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs BustaBusta won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)Busta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.