TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5130…9b27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 62 out of 100; worst MLB at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+50.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samsonbacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.99
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Mondaybacked Blaise Bicknell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+172%+$753.48
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$81.25
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$136.26
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,117%+$720.07
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$86.16
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.12
Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$30.38
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+196.8%+$395.13
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$126.76
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)backed Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+171.2%+$39.37
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.51
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.76
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+226.2%+$128.41
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+153.9%+$178.17
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Roland Garros WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencicbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$86.67
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$93.65
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+98.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.61
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$629.31
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.11
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$116.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.