TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Zverevof Quentin Halys, Alexander Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,126,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,239,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,126,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ada…2f28backed Quentin Halys0c61,159$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.167037.1%26 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Quentin Halys7c53,484$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,743.851,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Quentin Halys7c52,208$3,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,654.5813843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked Quentin Halys5c36,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Quentin Halys9c30,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70010931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Quentin Halys2c27,503$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.88,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Quentin Halys8c20,776$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.1611941.2%49 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Quentin Halys9c20,351$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.682540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Quentin Halys3c20,243$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57019835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Quentin Halys7c20,130$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.0245737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Quentin Halys6c18,329$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.9123731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Quentin Halys0c17,786$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.361,2058%96 W · 1,109 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Quentin Halys5c15,239$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.942920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x318a…7abdbacked Quentin Halys0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Quentin Halys2c11,772$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.462536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…357cbacked Quentin Halys0c10,125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…9277backed Quentin Halys2c10,085$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.71533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Quentin Halys7c9,995$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.6822037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Quentin Halys3c8,250$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…e8a5backed Quentin Halys8c8,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.971717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…5124backed Quentin Halys7c7,430$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.243026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Quentin Halys8c7,186$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.242,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Quentin Halys5c6,382$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.151136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Quentin Halys5c5,975$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.74525.8%3 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf203…bffabacked Quentin Halys8c5,488$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.06195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Quentin Halys6c5,349$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.423,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Quentin Halys2c5,337$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Quentin Halys10c5,100$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51045036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Quentin Halys9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45016844.6%75 W · 93 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dcf…dc6ebacked Quentin Halys2c4,950$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995735.1%20 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Quentin Halys1c4,734$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1632732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Quentin Halys8c4,629$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5214933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Quentin Halys5c4,595$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.614,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0078…0690backed Quentin Halys6c4,590$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.416536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Quentin Halys5c4,391$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.725,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Quentin Halys10c4,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4208721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Quentin Halys7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28036538.4%140 W · 225 L+16.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc74b…4e15backed Quentin Halys6c3,879$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305928.8%17 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd586…8d99backed Quentin Halys6c3,647$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.813125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Quentin Halys3c3,085$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.611919.3%23 W · 96 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Quentin Halys8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Quentin Halys7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103,86234.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L+92.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Quentin Halys8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,40428.7%403 W · 1,001 L+4.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Quentin Halys6c2,900$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1744431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Quentin Halys2c2,854$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4574712.2%91 W · 656 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Quentin Halys1c2,820$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8452038.5%200 W · 320 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee2a…729bbacked Quentin Halys1c2,728$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Quentin Halys6c2,719$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Quentin Halys9c2,589$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2331,25756.6%711 W · 546 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ae…2f79backed Quentin Halys7c2,400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Quentin Halys7c2,385$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9627236%98 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Quentin Halys5c2,370$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.476038.3%23 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f8…891cbacked Quentin Halys7c2,365$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.751741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Quentin Halys7c2,333$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4713826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Quentin Halys8c2,277$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.93,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Quentin Halys1c2,266$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.430830.8%95 W · 213 L+1.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4fe…8043backed Quentin Halys1c2,250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Quentin Halys7c2,165$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Quentin Halys9c2,154$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.926134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa63b…b8cfbacked Quentin Halys8c2,096$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.576845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Quentin Halys7c2,086$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Quentin Halys7c2,038$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.120351.2%104 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Quentin Halys7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Quentin Halys7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Quentin Halys7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408640.7%35 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+60.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Quentin Halys1c1,885$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.34543.7%2 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0475…ed7abacked Quentin Halys2c1,879$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.75213.5%7 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-65.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fc9…ec4bbacked Quentin Halys1c1,731$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246011.7%7 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick16cpaid+84.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Quentin Halys10c1,710$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0342125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f16…701dbacked Quentin Halys9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507938%30 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Quentin Halys1c1,650$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8645044%198 W · 252 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Quentin Halys9c1,596$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6312836.7%47 W · 81 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Quentin Halys7c1,522$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Quentin Halys1c1,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.67811.5%9 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Quentin Halys4c1,465$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5625240.5%102 W · 150 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Quentin Halys5c1,438$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Quentin Halys7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Quentin Halys7c1,422$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10059553.8%320 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Quentin Halys8c1,279$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4213427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Quentin Halys1c1,269$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3385624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed Quentin Halys6c1,262$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.635728.1%16 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Quentin Halys4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,02049.9%509 W · 511 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Quentin Halys8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031337.1%116 W · 197 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Quentin Halys8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010423.1%24 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed Quentin Halys8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021537.2%80 W · 135 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Quentin Halys8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017647.2%83 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed Quentin Halys9c1,156$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Quentin Halys9c1,140$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004831.3%15 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17af…b7e4backed Quentin Halys7c1,116$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0829348.5%142 W · 151 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Quentin Halys4c1,111$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.234837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Quentin Halys9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Quentin Halys6c1,091$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4518315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Quentin Halys9c1,081$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.87021.4%15 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Quentin Halys9c1,078$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710430.8%32 W · 72 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Quentin Halys9c1,062$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af1…02c0backed Quentin Halys8c1,028$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Quentin Halys1c1,028$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2885348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Quentin Halys1c1,028$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2865952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Quentin Halys3c1,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9845340%181 W · 272 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Quentin Halys1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10640%0 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.