Tennis · resolved market
Quentin Halys vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd11a377401facba57d47caf825760598e2586f65310df4e193e440af0dc06650
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 58c | 854.68$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.72 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Over 3.5 | 46c | 386.71$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.71 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over 3.5 | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Over 3.5 | 41c | 313.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Under 3.5 | 59c | 280$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 3.5 | 69c | 225.84$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.74 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…be38backed Over 3.5 | 40c | 102.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over 3.5 | 39c | 90.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over 3.5 | 42c | 87.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under 3.5 | 61c | 82.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Over 3.5 | 39c | 79.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under 3.5 | 61c | 76.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under 3.5 | 58c | 73.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 3.5 | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under 3.5 | 48c | 65.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Over 3.5 | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…95a7backed Over 3.5 | 16c | 62.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…0098backed Under 3.5 | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…102cbacked Over 3.5 | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over 3.5 | 42c | 35.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Under 3.5 | 59c | 32.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under 3.5 | 65c | 19.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quentin Halys vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Halys vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Halys vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Halys vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Quentin Halys vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Halys vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Halys (+2.5)Halys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.