TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcbbf…0098

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$218.74
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.73
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$49.3
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$28.1
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Cavs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+235%+$75.2
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$174.32
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+114%+$218.84
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$51.57
Will Pedro Neto score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$31.23
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.33
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Quentin Halys vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Halys (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.