NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814eb822b61b23b0fcb6bcaee624a00b08667aa50fdf7440f9817543e3cd0e1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavsof Cavs, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $568,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Pistons | 70c | 65,331$45,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,431.56 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Cavs | 44c | 53,648$23,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,204.37 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Pistons | 78c | 47,013$36,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,498.06 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons | 60c | 35,453$21,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,190.79 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Cavs | 23c | 31,230$7,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,084.22 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cavs | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.99 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Cavs | 43c | 16,392$7,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,343.7 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Cavs | 25c | 13,382$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,093.27 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Cavs | 38c | 12,760$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,897.22 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Cavs | 69c | 12,494$8,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.05 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Cavs | 46c | 12,449$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,725.13 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Pistons | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cavs | 60c | 10,252$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.58 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Pistons | 54c | 10,150$5,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,481 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Cavs | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.98 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Pistons | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.94 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Cavs | 46c | 9,333$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.08 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Pistons | 54c | 9,128$4,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,929.12 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Cavs | 31c | 8,719$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.57 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons | 64c | 7,206$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.18 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…0cd4backed Cavs | 38c | 7,176$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,427.92 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Pistons | 65c | 7,116$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.63 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Pistons | 25c | 6,875$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Cavs | 43c | 6,704$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.55 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Cavs | 48c | 6,293$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.42 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavs | 47c | 5,855$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Pistons | 54c | 5,682$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.21 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Pistons | 54c | 5,509$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…60c0backed Cavs | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.41 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavs | 26c | 5,393$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.47 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Cavs | 31c | 4,809$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,309.26 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Cavs | 33c | 4,201$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.53 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Pistons | 1c | 4,192$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Cavs | 49c | 4,050$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.96 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Pistons | 57c | 4,031$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.69 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Pistons | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Pistons | 66c | 3,642$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cavs | 46c | 3,480$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.19 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cavs | 42c | 3,275$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.58 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Cavs | 34c | 3,093$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.39 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Pistons | 58c | 2,966$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.74 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pistons | 37c | 2,150$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.33 | 410 | 38%156 W · 254 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Cavs | 36c | 2,110$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.52 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Pistons | 78c | 2,067$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.62 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Pistons | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Pistons | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Pistons | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Pistons | 1c | 1,994$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Cavs | 38c | 1,914$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.55 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,887$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.68 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x616c…aab7backed Cavs | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…be7cbacked Cavs | 41c | 1,587$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8408backed Cavs | 55c | 1,440$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…ffb0backed Cavs | 43c | 1,218$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Pistons | 18c | 1,200$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.93 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…b757backed Cavs | 47c | 1,047$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…fadbbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,025$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…1314backed Pistons | 65c | 1,025$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…8052backed Cavs | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed Pistons | 64c | 994.97$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.78 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Cavs | 28c | 887.69$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.14 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Cavs | 47c | 841.32$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.9 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Cavs | 31c | 799.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cavs | 45c | 799.99$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Pistons | 63c | 780.88$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Pistons | 26c | 770$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Pistons | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.78 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…3816backed Cavs | 37c | 689.14$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Cavs | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked Pistons | 77c | 640$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…7467backed Pistons | 75c | 637.93$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Pistons | 63c | 580$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Pistons | 54c | 570.75$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.21 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Pistons | 32c | 559.52$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.56 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Pistons | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Pistons | 58c | 550$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Cavs | 46c | 550$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…2586backed Pistons | 55c | 542.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Cavs | 41c | 542.63$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.04 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Cavs | 75c | 503.77$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Pistons | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…e4bebacked Pistons | 66c | 487.65$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…31b1backed Pistons | 67c | 458.4$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…41cabacked Cavs | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…5ef9backed Pistons | 17c | 401.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed Pistons | 10c | 400.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…b241backed Cavs | 76c | 395.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Cavs | 32c | 386.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.47 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…58d8backed Pistons | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Pistons | 32c | 380.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.74 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…64febacked Pistons | 61c | 379.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…ba5cbacked Cavs | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Cavs | 42c | 299.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…330ebacked Cavs | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…b05ebacked Cavs | 33c | 273.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…026bbacked Pistons | 80c | 262.63$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…05cbbacked Pistons | 77c | 249.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Pistons | 47c | 242.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…9580backed Pistons | 48c | 236$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.