TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79de…e4be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$300.31
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$304.23
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+200%+$500
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$295.89
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$888
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$116.76
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$231.27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$53.91
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$62.86
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,008.9%+$504.47
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$358.66
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+212.6%+$637.67
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$257
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$230
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. 76ers Total Games O/U 5.5backed Under 5.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$153.27
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.95
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$164.33
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.27
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+60.5%+$121.03
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$25
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$66.67
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+35.3%+$35.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.