NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7557df641b28a35a4220c437a1101caa206512cb555e009552a07f0c4e107352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $396,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Bulls | 55c | 67,272$36,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,860.58 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 51c | 52,197$26,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,423.66 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Bulls | 52c | 43,590$22,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,620.19 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Bulls | 55c | 39,795$21,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,887.42 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Bulls | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 50c | 16,252$8,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,126.1 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors | 45c | 15,909$7,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,724.58 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 47c | 12,550$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,678.88 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 47c | 10,722$5,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 45c | 10,402$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,670.55 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 53c | 10,328$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,434.23 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Raptors | 45c | 9,245$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084.63 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Raptors | 45c | 8,040$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 47c | 7,696$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.45 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 45c | 7,587$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.18 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 47c | 6,381$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bulls | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Raptors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Raptors | 47c | 4,549$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.05 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 49c | 3,835$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 46c | 3,357$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.39 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bulls | 51c | 3,104$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.27 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bulls | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bulls | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 46c | 2,655$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.26 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Raptors | 47c | 2,480$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.73 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Bulls | 51c | 2,352$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.12 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 46c | 2,139$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.45 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Raptors | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Raptors | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bulls | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors | 48c | 1,813$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.79 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Bulls | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Raptors | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 47c | 1,463$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.27 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 58c | 1,371$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.46 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 48c | 1,343$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Raptors | 49c | 1,093$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.66 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Bulls | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bulls | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Bulls | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.62 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Raptors | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 46c | 845.26$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.18 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Raptors | 45c | 840.09$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.05 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Raptors | 45c | 800$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.2 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Bulls | 52c | 767.89$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.74 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Raptors | 45c | 743.2$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.76 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Raptors | 48c | 687.74$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.62 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Raptors | 50c | 664$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bulls | 60c | 600.08$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.55 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Raptors | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 46c | 537.31$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 47c | 503.25$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.21 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Raptors | 60c | 501.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.82 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Raptors | 45c | 500.07$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.77 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Raptors | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…a0a5backed Bulls | 47c | 481.83$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Bulls | 50c | 454.56$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Raptors | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Bulls | 51c | 443.63$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bulls | 18c | 407.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Bulls | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Raptors | 41c | 343$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.08 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Raptors | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Raptors | 45c | 310.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Bulls | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bulls | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…35b5backed Bulls | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Raptors | 56c | 299$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Bulls | 42c | 289.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Bulls | 55c | 288$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Bulls | 52c | 261.54$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed Raptors | 45c | 258.93$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bulls | 41c | 252.49$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bulls | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 54c | 225.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Raptors | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Bulls | 52c | 207.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Bulls | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Bulls | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Bulls | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Bulls | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Bulls | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…8354backed Bulls | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Raptors | 55c | 170.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Raptors | 55c | 169.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Raptors | 46c | 159.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Bulls | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Raptors | 50c | 156.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Bulls | 51c | 153.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…e64bbacked Bulls | 54c | 135$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…e0dbbacked Raptors | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Raptors | 52c | 123.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3fb7backed Bulls | 50c | 120.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Bulls | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Raptors | 46c | 111.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)this page
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bulls vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.