NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92247b52a7d00534834c2eb9a9074b5b0b0c26b3f25ac307f36156e2f0dd6aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 8,926$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 3,407$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 53c | 2,877$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.04 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,542$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Under | 54c | 2,535$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 1,258$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.4 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 52c | 1,252$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.04 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.24 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 974$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 58c | 462.07$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 313$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 47c | 295.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.63 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 182.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 61.6%93 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb82…c668backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…4b74backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 60c | 38.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 43c | 36.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…ab94backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 57c | 23.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5this page
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bulls vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.