NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb64cf8047f2d2c449b640df306aa0e6801c33eebbefe6066ba09c484784fd75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 52c | 26,658$13,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,675.05 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 25,037$12,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,769.02 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 16,422$7,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,959.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 52c | 14,512$7,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,546.24 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 14,241$6,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,405.35 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 51c | 11,961$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,861.04 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 6,658$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 48c | 6,385$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.73 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 51c | 5,854$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.67 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 49c | 4,487$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.45 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 46c | 3,467$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 3,377$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Under | 49c | 2,786$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,927$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 1,855$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 47c | 1,499$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.53 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 48c | 1,425$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.15 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 1,318$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.46 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 1,305$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.08 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 895.49$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 53c | 799.71$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.54 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 771.38$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.17 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 46c | 427.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.65 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 258.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 53c | 253$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 48c | 235.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…d6a8backed Over | 57c | 201.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 52c | 190.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Under | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 52c | 155.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 142.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 126.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 53c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 97.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 53c | 94.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…6cadbacked Over | 51c | 64.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 54c | 44.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 51c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 53c | 37.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Over | 49c | 35.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 53c | 27.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 52c | 24.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 52c | 19.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5this page
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bulls vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.