NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad5ab9d41a38833196642b5b17c08bde16048615e96ed1f265f97764eca3a7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 2,150$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.38 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 46c | 1,725$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.36 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 44c | 1,390$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.39 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,153$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Over | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 1,075$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 42c | 1,027$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.37 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 64c | 755.56$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 53c | 463.46$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 59c | 425.39$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…0adcbacked Over | 58c | 410.8$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.54 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 41c | 388.46$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.27 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 257$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 251.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 54c | 235.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 42c | 198.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 165$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 53c | 154$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 55c | 146.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 39c | 136.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 133.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 59c | 111.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 43c | 108$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 74.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 51.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 47c | 51.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 52c | 41.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a3a7backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5this page
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bulls vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.