NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38dadb6d9a478d94c062bad36dda3ee319faaa4e4f6cb422c3cc3e21a2a4670e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Bulls, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,692,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,829,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,692,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 978 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd7…373ebacked Bulls | 28c | 274,103$75,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,505.63 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bulls | 24c | 192,601$47,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,076.4 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Raptors | 72c | 180,000$130,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,749.99 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raptors | 76c | 137,458$104,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,369.81 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Raptors | 73c | 66,832$48,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,044.64 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…c55fbacked Bulls | 26c | 60,200$15,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,652 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…bcccbacked Raptors | 74c | 60,200$44,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,652 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bulls | 27c | 50,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,499.99 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 4c | 45,213$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.9 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Bulls | 27c | 35,179$9,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,498.32 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 73c | 32,391$23,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,645.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bulls | 26c | 30,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.96 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Bulls | 27c | 28,718$7,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,625.11 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bulls | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…b212backed Bulls | 25c | 24,815$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,203.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 72c | 24,159$17,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,647.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 73c | 22,767$16,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,154.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 75c | 20,966$15,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,321.1 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Bulls | 28c | 20,508$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,742.13 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Raptors | 72c | 20,504$14,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,741.11 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Raptors | 73c | 20,442$14,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,519.47 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Bulls | 27c | 20,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.93 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 1c | 18,012$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.96 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…c1d1backed Bulls | 28c | 17,400$4,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Bulls | 27c | 15,010$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.7 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Raptors | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Raptors | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.99 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Raptors | 73c | 14,971$10,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.17 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked Raptors | 72c | 14,438$10,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.63 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Raptors | 72c | 13,500$9,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Bulls | 25c | 10,822$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.59 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Raptors | 72c | 10,818$7,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.17 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 26c | 10,150$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Raptors | 73c | 10,010$7,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.94 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 7c | 8,632$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Raptors | 75c | 8,020$5,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.39 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Bulls | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Raptors | 73c | 7,989$5,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.42 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked Raptors | 75c | 7,789$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.27 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bulls | 28c | 7,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Bulls | 22c | 6,990$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.58 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 76c | 6,704$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 75c | 6,677$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.33 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 0c | 6,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Bulls | 25c | 6,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.98 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Bulls | 8c | 6,449$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.92 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 2c | 5,940$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Raptors | 74c | 5,794$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.44 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bulls | 27c | 5,591$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 78c | 5,054$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.63 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…a59abacked Bulls | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Raptors | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Bulls | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Raptors | 75c | 4,913$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.69 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78be…9218backed Bulls | 3c | 4,877$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raptors | 74c | 4,856$3,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.65 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd9…3dabbacked Bulls | 23c | 4,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…80afbacked Bulls | 9c | 4,453$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.53 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3382…dcfbbacked Bulls | 23c | 4,400$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…f689backed Raptors | 74c | 4,110$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…924fbacked Bulls | 26c | 4,109$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.34 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…943abacked Bulls | 23c | 4,100$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Raptors | 77c | 4,084$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.75 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Raptors | 75c | 4,008$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.07 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked Raptors | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Raptors | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…7d64backed Bulls | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…6b37backed Raptors | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…9c19backed Bulls | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 73c | 3,915$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.91 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Raptors | 75c | 3,867$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.67 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 72c | 3,746$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.78 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Bulls | 26c | 3,731$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.38 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Bulls | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…db20backed Bulls | 6c | 3,643$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…0fb2backed Raptors | 77c | 3,634$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Raptors | 72c | 3,611$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.11 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bulls | 25c | 3,600$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…1aacbacked Bulls | 1c | 3,476$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…220abacked Bulls | 36c | 3,400$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c28…fb64backed Raptors | 64c | 3,400$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bulls | 27c | 3,202$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.63 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed Raptors | 73c | 3,173$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 76c | 3,058$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.05 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Bulls | 10c | 3,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Raptors | 75c | 2,783$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.29 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…a78dbacked Bulls | 28c | 2,780$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.39 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…4a65backed Bulls | 10c | 2,752$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Raptors | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Bulls | 10c | 2,739$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.14 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Raptors | 73c | 2,575$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.34 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 26c | 2,513$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.42 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Bulls | 11c | 2,375$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Raptors | 75c | 2,306$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.04 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Bulls | 11c | 2,284$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Raptors | 77c | 2,269$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.12 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Bulls | 9c | 2,220$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls | 26c | 2,212$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.17 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 26c | 2,203$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.84 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Bulls | 25c | 2,172$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.46 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Raptorsthis page
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.