NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68467e4ad5b129331131783fa893f6f040fab1ac7f15c88c1bcd240d0d94023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,067,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,077,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 348,461$188,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,168.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 46c | 343,976$158,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185,783.13 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 46c | 280,000$128,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,199.98 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 54c | 107,872$58,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,223.33 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 54c | 97,170$52,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,256.8 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…a7a1backed Over | 50c | 18,231$9,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,115.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Under | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 48c | 13,418$6,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,977.14 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 11,923$6,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,175.34 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.94 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 9,000$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 56c | 8,983$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 51c | 7,717$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.3 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 7,454$3,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Under | 54c | 6,179$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.1 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 53c | 5,247$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.83 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 49c | 5,016$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.33 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…891abacked Under | 49c | 4,355$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…6af9backed Under | 49c | 4,355$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…bf6bbacked Under | 49c | 4,321$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…2eb7backed Under | 49c | 4,266$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 4,246$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.41 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…8077backed Under | 49c | 4,212$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79bf…c71ebacked Under | 49c | 4,211$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99da…6973backed Over | 51c | 4,211$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68e…745cbacked Over | 51c | 4,211$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 48c | 4,200$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.33 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…5e24backed Over | 51c | 4,125$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b7…ade4backed Over | 51c | 4,121$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…5698backed Under | 49c | 4,112$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8db…24cabacked Over | 51c | 4,058$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc010…68f1backed Over | 51c | 4,012$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…3921backed Over | 51c | 3,952$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Over | 45c | 3,935$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…04bcbacked Over | 51c | 3,928$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c3…fb6abacked Under | 49c | 3,909$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…a847backed Under | 49c | 3,867$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x592b…8992backed Under | 49c | 3,824$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…7b27backed Over | 51c | 3,812$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…10f4backed Under | 49c | 3,808$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…1631backed Over | 51c | 3,801$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…8953backed Under | 49c | 3,785$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…8f09backed Under | 49c | 3,752$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…4a3bbacked Over | 51c | 3,745$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…891ebacked Over | 51c | 3,744$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…9a7ebacked Under | 49c | 3,744$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…bd73backed Over | 51c | 3,721$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacfb…50ddbacked Over | 51c | 3,721$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f8…c2dabacked Under | 49c | 3,715$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…f373backed Under | 49c | 3,711$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…92f3backed Under | 49c | 3,711$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…c385backed Over | 51c | 3,711$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb668…ba91backed Over | 51c | 3,702$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…0a28backed Over | 51c | 3,702$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb64…ea6cbacked Under | 49c | 3,686$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd973…d1ffbacked Under | 49c | 3,685$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…5df7backed Under | 49c | 3,655$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491b…211cbacked Under | 49c | 3,652$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…600ebacked Over | 51c | 3,611$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…9db8backed Under | 49c | 3,606$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9d…6446backed Over | 51c | 3,602$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05fb…a476backed Over | 51c | 3,574$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…d509backed Over | 51c | 3,555$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…b131backed Over | 51c | 3,544$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd21…5e94backed Over | 51c | 3,536$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x915a…1fcabacked Under | 49c | 3,535$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…21b1backed Over | 51c | 3,521$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…7a99backed Under | 49c | 3,512$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…f10dbacked Under | 49c | 3,495$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee1…22babacked Under | 49c | 3,452$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…a875backed Over | 51c | 3,429$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…ded3backed Over | 51c | 3,412$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…b867backed Over | 51c | 3,412$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fa…457bbacked Under | 49c | 3,412$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…a15bbacked Over | 51c | 3,411$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db6…ff73backed Under | 49c | 3,410$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…5dc0backed Under | 49c | 3,408$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…aac6backed Over | 51c | 3,401$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…e79dbacked Over | 51c | 3,378$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7f…d813backed Over | 51c | 3,367$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…50c5backed Over | 51c | 3,364$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…8f00backed Over | 51c | 3,358$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…fdc3backed Under | 49c | 3,341$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…a59abacked Over | 51c | 3,322$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…32edbacked Under | 49c | 3,322$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…66afbacked Under | 49c | 3,321$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b87…58fdbacked Under | 49c | 3,318$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…44e6backed Under | 49c | 3,312$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5456…877dbacked Over | 51c | 3,312$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3e…f12abacked Under | 49c | 3,266$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…dda9backed Under | 49c | 3,260$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ec…c004backed Under | 49c | 3,247$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…eaebbacked Under | 49c | 3,244$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…e60cbacked Under | 49c | 3,238$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…98ffbacked Over | 51c | 3,221$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5this page
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Bulls vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Collin Murray-Boyles: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- RJ Barrett: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-9.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.