Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0982c3804ef36d7a28a6ab34384dc9032c313c63eac628048c21fbfc2f4575e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norwayof Brazil, Norway
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,398,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,391,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,398,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Norway | 73c | 393,882$288,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,864.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Brazil | 31c | 200,000$61,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,999.96 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed Norway | 70c | 100,822$70,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,246.71 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Norway | 70c | 90,547$62,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,614.77 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Norway | 69c | 78,123$53,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,215.23 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brazil | 30c | 75,041$22,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,547.12 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Brazil | 26c | 60,270$15,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,670.24 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Brazil | 27c | 58,703$16,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,125.65 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…4e7cbacked Brazil | 34c | 35,815$12,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,064.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Brazil | 30c | 32,644$9,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,793.14 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Brazil | 31c | 32,258$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Brazil | 30c | 29,200$8,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,760 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Norway | 79c | 27,277$21,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.07 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Brazil | 20c | 23,450$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.09 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Brazil | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Norway | 74c | 18,893$13,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,983.23 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Brazil | 29c | 18,314$5,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,368.45 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Norway | 80c | 17,671$14,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.2 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Brazil | 27c | 17,638$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,684.02 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Brazil | 20c | 16,900$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Brazil | 31c | 16,129$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Norway | 53c | 16,065$8,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,550.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Norway | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Norway | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Brazil | 30c | 12,272$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.2 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Brazil | 30c | 11,680$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Norway | 70c | 10,558$7,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…4e8dbacked Brazil | 30c | 10,424$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.23 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…78c7backed Brazil | 29c | 10,345$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…50cdbacked Brazil | 30c | 10,226$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.8 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Brazil | 30c | 10,001$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.42 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Brazil | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Brazil | 26c | 9,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Norway | 70c | 9,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Norway | 70c | 9,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…4cf8backed Brazil | 20c | 8,890$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa976…43c2backed Norway | 80c | 8,873$7,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Norway | 71c | 8,779$6,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.91 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Brazil | 24c | 7,815$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.51 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Brazil | 25c | 7,248$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Norway | 70c | 6,985$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.37 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed Brazil | 20c | 6,362$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.68 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +14.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…c0fbbacked Brazil | 29c | 6,358$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.74 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Brazil | 30c | 5,990$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.01 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Norway | 69c | 5,800$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Brazil | 30c | 5,726$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.91 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Brazil | 22c | 5,423$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.43 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…1e0cbacked Brazil | 30c | 5,172$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.58 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Brazil | 26c | 5,095$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.78 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Norway | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Norway | 70c | 4,968$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.27 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Norway | 72c | 4,621$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.91 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Brazil | 31c | 4,558$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Brazil | 25c | 4,500$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Norway | 79c | 4,325$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.15 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Norway | 70c | 4,091$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…1c30backed Brazil | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Brazil | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…0047backed Brazil | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Brazil | 31c | 3,664$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.77 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Brazil | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Brazil | 30c | 3,440$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.89 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Norway | 72c | 3,408$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.21 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Brazil | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a27…9edbbacked Brazil | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Norway | 71c | 3,127$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.76 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Brazil | 31c | 3,029$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.9 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Norway | 53c | 3,003$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.81 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Norway | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Brazil | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Brazil | 30c | 2,964$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.3 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…c1adbacked Norway | 76c | 2,910$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Brazil | 30c | 2,777$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.09 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Norway | 70c | 2,708$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.07 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Brazil | 41c | 2,707$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.13 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Brazil | 29c | 2,625$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.13 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Norway | 70c | 2,435$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.82 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Brazil | 48c | 2,276$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.73 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e64…8bf8backed Brazil | 30c | 2,264$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…db5ebacked Norway | 70c | 2,222$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Brazil | 25c | 2,167$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.13 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Brazil | 21c | 2,157$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.15 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Brazil | 29c | 2,150$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Norway | 65c | 2,077$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Brazil | 21c | 2,074$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.27 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Norway | 71c | 2,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Norway | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Norway | 51c | 1,951$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.61 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Brazil | 25c | 1,910$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Brazil | 31c | 1,903$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.8 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Norway | 76c | 1,899$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.74 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Norway | 77c | 1,887$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.06 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Norway | 74c | 1,862$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.86 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Brazil | 30c | 1,800$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…e786backed Norway | 71c | 1,700$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…9823backed Norway | 70c | 1,698$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.45 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Brazil | 4c | 1,669$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 213 | 34.3%73 W · 140 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…e776backed Brazil | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 32.3%54 W · 113 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Brazil | 29c | 1,602$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Brazil | 25c | 1,584$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)this page
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.