TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$400,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$405,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Under15c55,684$8,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,614.071,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over63c21,088$13,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,739.334,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over63c17,461$10,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,502.7841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under16c17,290$2,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.2720731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under14c12,298$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over57c11,925$6,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,156.472,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c9,410$3,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over63c9,402$5,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,485.542,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10d…4ba0backed Under13c6,950$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.55740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under13c6,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c5,110$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.444,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c5,000$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.995824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd8…01f0backed Under0c4,584$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over23c3,767$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.522,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under19c3,731$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.822,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over54c3,499$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.7443248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over16c2,640$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.821,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc11…4b4abacked Under2c2,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609910.1%10 W · 89 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+194.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over56c2,500$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.111,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over58c2,400$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.697639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Over67c2,175$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.8517950.3%90 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under64c2,049$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.3564850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under32c2,004$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.122,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked Under2c2,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48258%2 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+200%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under15c2,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd123…d463backed Under26c1,936$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+42.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.116660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under13c1,647$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6261752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Over78c1,500$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32721850%109 W · 109 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed Under41c1,290$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.193366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over25c1,214$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.6545145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6d…33e2backed Under2c1,201$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.01333%1 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Over58c1,161$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2418158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over61c1,010$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.2812737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202927.6%8 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick8cpaid+805.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a03…a455backed Over72c999.88$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.977038.6%27 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under13c910.05$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.783,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f83…761bbacked Over71c900$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.24052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda22…61d0backed Over41c861.5$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.527945.6%36 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under13c857$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.561,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dad…1d41backed Over72c828.87$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.874163.4%26 W · 15 L+9.8wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+70.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under14c799.88$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.562,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over57c783.7$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.722,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under14c764.52$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0322634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under13c741.76$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under14c707.88$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.463,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over25c689.58$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.191,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Over69c665.96$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.789770.1%68 W · 29 L+12.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c75…a628backed Under67c639.23$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.926055%33 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed Under17c614.12$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.247823.1%18 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over19c570.74$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.9479149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5277…b271backed Over53c562.02$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.155731.6%18 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under15c557.14$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf6…cc47backed Over69c554.99$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.051181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Over55c540.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.792965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Over17c528$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.777051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over9c500$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.539932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over56c500$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.071,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under13c499.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9928945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over67c487.64$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.41,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f8…38b5backed Over42c479.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.755158.8%30 W · 21 L+9.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over40c471.81$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.461,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over19c465.85$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2745548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f10…a6e3backed Over75c450$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54751.1%24 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb79…47a9backed Over12c427.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.355726.3%15 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Over66c400$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.23145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over19c398.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9430547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbc…0402backed Over51c390.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.254537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b68…cdb2backed Over52c356.81$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.818051.3%41 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under29c336.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.813736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over59c309.64$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0865036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked Under16c300$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.43218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.569573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6846…abffbacked Over37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1895034%17 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under14c284.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5832837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under40c280.74$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.262,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Over19c264$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8416647%78 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Over16c264$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7617448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over17c263.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1213850%69 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over63c263$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x935e…9132backed Over77c258.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.175853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Over15c240$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20427837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under26c204.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.582,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…39bbbacked Over72c201.87$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.133023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9420325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ea…ea62backed Over35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1307660.5%46 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.627028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under13c199.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.261,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over70c195.19$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2523558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked Over80c193$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.620049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed Under14c187.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3111238.4%43 W · 69 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under14c185.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9441231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe01f…ff34backed Over58c172.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7120343.8%89 W · 114 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.