TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes15c5,394$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.1728025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No80c3,111$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.124,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No79c2,912$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.452,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Yes15c2,333$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c2,231$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes8c2,007$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.022,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9bd…3dd4backed Yes30c1,264$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.042035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7942…b60bbacked Yes26c1,142$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007234.7%25 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe28c…ffb3backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202927.6%8 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick8cpaid+805.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes9c883.43$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.781279.4%12 W · 115 L+0.4wins0.00per pick9cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4b97backed Yes14c872.14$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.11330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa981…ab19backed Yes2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125217.3%9 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+525.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…f12cbacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002020%4 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x340a…1f9ebacked Yes18c587.85$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381f…40a7backed Yes15c586.53$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9870%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb59…6ca3backed Yes19c529.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015952.8%84 W · 75 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Yes15c466.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707115.5%11 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes23c406.04$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.486930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cea…181dbacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Yes14c399.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5627028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes17c359.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.661,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes21c357.15$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.421937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes15c340.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4960…0648backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8227…2432backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017145.6%78 W · 93 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Yes15c326.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4915050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes31c317.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes17c302.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504814.6%7 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Yes11c277.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5716564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc338…f3d0backed Yes18c266.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70cb…41c8backed Yes17c265.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46557.3%4 W · 51 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-85.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Yes23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.524540.8%100 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d43…8156backed Yes18c224.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403625%9 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8412…55f3backed Yes17c204.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.924440.9%18 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bf5…6149backed Yes15c202.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.424325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f15…9dfcbacked Yes17c201.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.73333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266346%29 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38b…5d4abacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes14c193.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3166932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec7…6aadbacked Yes20c186.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372010%2 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf1…2960backed Yes11c178.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016531.5%52 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8f…52bebacked Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes12c171.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254219%8 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…f700backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304119.5%8 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8454…077dbacked Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes9c162.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.081,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a28…b9afbacked Yes16c154.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.722138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224c…1ad7backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes28c143.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011439.5%45 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes21c138.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2929018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2075630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…01f4backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Yes16c128.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e7…d258backed Yes17c120.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208330.1%25 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…dbe1backed Yes15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e3…3efdbacked Yes15c111.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.794122%9 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23a…f14fbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2425…3dd1backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010813%14 W · 94 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No77c106.6$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.522,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a7…8b7cbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205450%27 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44cd…bc6dbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf0…cad2backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910040%40 W · 60 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ceb…ff5dbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf256…3767backed Yes14c99.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6946…ee08backed Yes26c99.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.99933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+108%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes14c92.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b3…a1f8backed Yes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1680%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde92…8159backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…f95ebacked No76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.793946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01cc…c1e3backed Yes17c65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92520%5 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Yes28c63.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6710840.7%44 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb45…a1e8backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+81.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Yes19c55.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Yes20c51.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.295127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…faffbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-50.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf07c…5c5cbacked Yes25c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f2e…cd45backed Yes31c31.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…126cbacked No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No79c22.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6398134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No79c14.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.