Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e4e2895ca9ad1c9864f3c6b1dd1725dc1fe32bbb8427a8ab286ce56953b61c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $531,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $662,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $531,804 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over	8c	14,473$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.54	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	7c	14,254$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.78	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over	8c	13,296$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+10.1wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over	8c	12,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	109	27.5%30 W · 79 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	2c	10,139$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.03	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	7c	7,358$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.06	702	44.6%313 W · 389 L	+13.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	7c	7,160$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.21	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	7c	5,120$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.4	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over	7c	4,914$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.38	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over	3c	4,613$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.77	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	5c	3,926$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.43	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	7c	3,162$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.37	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over	7c	3,150$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.5	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	7c	3,031$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.05	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…8450backed Over	10c	2,892$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.73	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-7.3wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Over	7c	2,857$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	6c	2,810$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.07	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over	8c	2,574$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.94	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over	6c	2,405$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.74	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Over	4c	2,222$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.88	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	8c	2,150$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	6c	2,076$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.84	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	7c	2,069$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.8	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over	4c	2,006$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.88	163	25.8%42 W · 121 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+220.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	7c	1,638$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.63	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2393…1a8dbacked Over	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over	8c	1,375$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Over	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	121	23.1%28 W · 93 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	6c	1,246$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.73	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over	8c	1,210$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.82	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	7c	1,194$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.58	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	5c	1,074$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.6	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over	4c	1,056$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.84	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over	8c	889.5$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.36	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	7c	842.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.01	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	6c	780$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over	5c	729$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.45	107	29%31 W · 76 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Over	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	75	14.7%11 W · 64 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Over	4c	650$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.65	98	30.6%30 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Over	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over	7c	599.98$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ab…4122backed Over	7c	572.49$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	7c	515.15$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.06	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over	7c	499.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	194	42.3%82 W · 112 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over	6c	499.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over	7c	484$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.88	249	47.4%118 W · 131 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	6c	436.78$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Over	7c	421.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.51	164	49.4%81 W · 83 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over	8c	412.25$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.68	379	19.5%74 W · 305 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed Over	7c	393.86$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.57	78	23.1%18 W · 60 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	7c	329.87$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	7c	278$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	6c	257.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.44	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a73…1c47backed Over	10c	230.9$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	467	43.3%202 W · 265 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Over	7c	199.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	141	19.9%28 W · 113 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x834c…593abacked Over	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	68	22.1%15 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Over	8c	165$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over	7c	158$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	320	42.2%135 W · 185 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over	10c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	226	23.5%53 W · 173 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Over	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	110	31.8%35 W · 75 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Over	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	138	26.8%37 W · 101 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…496abacked Over	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	76	19.7%15 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5this page
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Norway won
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Norway won
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-1.5)Brazil won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)Brazil won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)Brazil won
Spread: Norway (-4.5)Brazil won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event