Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9f5e1bb3bc98686bea4519ee654e37c67871d44f72b31cae832caccfb5c416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 13c | 27,844$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.69 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 13c | 5,689$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.59 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 2c | 4,756$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Over | 13c | 3,480$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.4 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 12c | 2,500$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.98 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b8…96f1backed Over | 10c | 2,406$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 12c | 2,048$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 13c | 1,726$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 5c | 1,599$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Over | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 24c | 786.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…d14bbacked Over | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 276 | 37.7%104 W · 172 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 12c | 736.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…4ee4backed Over | 14c | 709.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 75c | 689.22$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 13c | 522.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 13c | 450$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 9c | 427.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 14c | 395.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Over | 12c | 326.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 221 | 35.3%78 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 9c | 240.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 12c | 194.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…0f47backed Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 12c | 153.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Over | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe1…af91backed Over | 12c | 124.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 14c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 120 | 13.3%16 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 19c | 91.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 79c | 76.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 80c | 17.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.