TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,523,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,747,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,523,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No39c586,250$226,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226,915.7510740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No40c569,437$229,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229,784.6756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes62c475,189$296,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178,417.342,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes61c455,457$279,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175,628.1121343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No38c289,112$111,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,066.9122139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No43c242,068$103,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,980.6520448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c194,832$108,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,838.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No37c169,604$62,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,906.2332031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes61c150,361$92,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,214.261,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c131,228$66,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,520.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No37c107,386$39,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,945.0829740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes60c103,977$62,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,873.9910959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes63c100,000$63,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,00012254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes59c96,200$57,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,079.968847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No39c90,021$35,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,249.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes50c89,572$44,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,730.3849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked Yes60c84,000$50,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,6004040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Yes63c77,777$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,777.498246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No37c75,000$27,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,749.8515249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed No37c72,800$26,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,935.928046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x087d…b872backed No37c69,590$25,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,748.449845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes63c59,000$37,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,999.9938817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No44c58,526$25,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,763.018139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes21c51,313$10,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,549.9220646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes59c51,195$30,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,813.262,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No39c50,979$19,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,757.362,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes60c45,174$27,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,969.642,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed No37c40,000$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,799.932931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c39,036$12,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,155.153,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No37c37,750$13,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,967.487642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Yes57c34,893$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,893.083243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes63c34,090$21,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,484.318047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes61c31,311$19,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,310.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No37c30,077$11,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,144.2325844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No44c29,149$12,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,807.487143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes48c24,975$12,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,944.5118056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes60c23,893$14,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,506.8364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes60c23,422$14,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,368.866526.2%17 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x694d…9aadbacked Yes58c22,530$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,530.384650%23 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No37c22,222$8,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,222.0821836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36a7…63f1backed No39c20,712$8,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,069.761855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No54c19,946$10,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6764,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No37c18,900$6,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,993.0112737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes60c18,760$11,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,496.675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No37c18,000$6,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,66011031.8%35 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes53c17,735$9,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,291.6120839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes38c16,572$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,202.042,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No40c16,413$6,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,565.168631.4%27 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes23c16,238$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,520.441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No69c16,206$11,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,195.642,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No42c16,092$6,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,696.31,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x620c…4baebacked Yes60c16,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4002867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No38c16,000$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,049.951,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No51c15,876$8,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,057.331,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd99f…4768backed Yes61c15,485$9,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,03914347.6%68 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked Yes62c15,458$9,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,874.012050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Yes63c15,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5503369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Yes42c14,286$6,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,248.7410060%60 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x744f…f173backed Yes50c14,061$7,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,029.285343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes62c13,051$8,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,998.6936247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No46c13,000$6,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,039.9631851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…15ffbacked Yes40c12,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5001435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No37c12,500$4,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,624.9774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes53c12,330$6,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,754.599349.5%46 W · 47 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes61c12,263$7,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,796.4279231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed No42c11,976$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Yes63c11,887$7,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.349446.8%44 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No37c11,850$4,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,384.457425.7%19 W · 55 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No40c11,747$4,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,698.6120333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes80c11,742$9,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.7233843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Yes45c11,384$5,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,258.337944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No39c11,290$4,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,403.058940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes61c11,136$6,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,343.079440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed No53c11,131$5,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,850.9610653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Yes27c11,000$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,009.972748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+120.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe18…3be4backed Yes48c10,741$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,540.746841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b3…85c3backed Yes61c10,666$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,166.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Yes61c10,500$6,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0951560%9 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes56c10,351$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,550.8816957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes49c10,299$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.2922749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Yes61c10,277$6,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,008.077844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…03adbacked Yes2c10,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8001533.3%5 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+583.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked Yes2c10,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8002250%11 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+389%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Yes17c9,569$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,968.7324917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No40c9,476$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.211,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…0fc8backed Yes46c9,457$4,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,100.471485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.2wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+70.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No44c8,697$3,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,817.0840655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes72c8,682$6,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,450.278037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes56c8,402$4,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,710.9169826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No37c8,200$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.974740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed No38c8,192$3,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,11319250%96 W · 96 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes60c8,087$4,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,272.35034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No39c7,974$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.932,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes62c7,500$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.9913543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77dc…fb03backed Yes61c7,425$4,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.551758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c65…f19dbacked Yes61c7,373$4,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.391369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc173…26eebacked Yes40c7,014$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,235.361060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73d5…a5bcbacked Yes61c6,865$4,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.252948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes61c6,844$4,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.1832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6872…876fbacked Yes9c6,820$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,230.153718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.