Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ac5dd6df54273b4705aed9ddebe0d9c8bcfe3124c06c244247cc264ee8eb099
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,152
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,152 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 8,326$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.63 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Over | 54c | 2,190$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.59 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…26e9backed Over | 56c | 1,875$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.74 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Over | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 1,129$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.02 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 732.89$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 726.36$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.23 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Over | 45c | 541.52$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.72 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 494.04$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…cdb2backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 44c | 340.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Under | 46c | 219.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 55c | 209.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd787…c146backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 43c | 161.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fc…f25abacked Over | 54c | 118.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 107.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Over | 55c | 100.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 42c | 96.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 56c | 94.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c9…424fbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…8dadbacked Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 54c | 89.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…922bbacked Over | 57c | 88.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 48c | 87.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…0e6dbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 56c | 61.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6c81backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 70.3%78 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…3cb2backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…4a2cbacked Under | 46c | 43.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96d…6af2backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…f49ebacked Over | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f26…9ee3backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 53c | 29.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 45c | 28.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…88c6backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…c69fbacked Over | 54c | 24.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5c…8d37backed Over | 55c | 21.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 56c | 19.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Over | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.