TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$578,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$619,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $578,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over0c97,039$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.943,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over18c62,797$11,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,391.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over6c50,057$3,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.631,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over7c11,434$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.623,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over17c8,800$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.969126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over12c8,595$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.2639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over16c8,587$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.481,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over17c5,882$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over17c5,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over18c5,556$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over17c4,539$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.491,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over12c4,204$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.13626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over16c4,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.993534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9822342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over10c3,891$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.624,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over17c3,156$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.573545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+94%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Over18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over16c2,638$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.0771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over5c2,546$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2616325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over17c2,353$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over17c2,150$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over16c2,059$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.311,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3405911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f82…b06cbacked Over12c1,707$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.531838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over15c1,594$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8743826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over3c1,500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over16c1,322$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0732656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over19c1,143$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.817747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Over18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-42%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Over18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under76c1,033$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6158942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Over16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606150.8%31 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over16c999.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Over17c999.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17012227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ff…8450backed Over24c874.44$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.26016.7%10 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over5c852.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.721,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over16c770.9$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.73,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over17c712.98$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.211,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Over18c696.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4411934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over18c647.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5312117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under78c643.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.855666.1%37 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over16c599.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over17c580.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002317.4%4 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over15c550.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.152,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over8c528.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.941,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Over17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8519442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over17c451.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7510128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over16c407.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1772722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over17c395.64$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.691,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5ac…b255backed Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505242.3%22 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over16c342$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7232837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under74c315.19$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4127543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93aa…6ac0backed Over18c300.17$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Over17c299.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over17c294.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Over16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407521.3%16 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over18c245.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2426243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over15c240.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa018…3d31backed Over17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409221.7%20 W · 72 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over17c230.88$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2522135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f75…c2cfbacked Over18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over18c209.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.846743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…8139backed Over13c201.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.181612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+51%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4057541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4246445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…9c89backed Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bf5…9e5cbacked Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x885e…08b8backed Over17c184.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.437027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb0…d64dbacked Over17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305242.3%22 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Over17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010630.2%32 W · 74 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over17c171$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.071,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over18c170$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.628326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over16c164.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5584844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over15c158.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8266932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over17c156.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6932042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc7…4e28backed Over18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277529.3%22 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over20c146$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1224947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Over18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511031.8%35 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…a27abacked Over18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013826.8%37 W · 101 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over17c119.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3417047.6%81 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1803…7e93backed Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-72.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over17c114$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2627227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x504e…1a2fbacked Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024341.2%100 W · 143 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.