TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73bc…46cebacked Under46c65,672$29,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,769.4617852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c29,575$14,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,391.054,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over57c26,905$15,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,435.8323942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over35c16,964$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over57c16,720$9,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,594.942,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over56c13,895$7,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,747.852,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under42c12,133$5,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,037.041,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c11,240$7,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,008.33,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c8,224$4,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,624.928,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c8,146$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250.192,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c6,829$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.53,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c6,314$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.44,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over58c6,179$3,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,568.622,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over38c5,468$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.0817544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over56c5,226$2,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.340655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Over42c5,000$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.5515128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Over58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9007444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c4,301$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.662,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over55c4,273$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.0470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over2c4,041$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.011,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over56c3,716$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.2930465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over34c2,227$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.296930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over57c2,026$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.8912248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08021450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6d…f52abacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.571040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over26c1,633$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.84,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c1,289$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.731,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94b8…96f1backed Over33c1,247$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58030950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5506759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57061752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Over54c970$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.85916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under43c941.6$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.771,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c939.85$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.111,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under44c907.77$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.3526344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Over58c899$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.4234751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Over58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over15c854.32$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.092,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43224045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Over53c799.99$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4243568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over27c799$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.671,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over57c786.32$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.227254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under44c713.96$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.553,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Over57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73ae…e665backed Over55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3852864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Over58c694.34$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.724060%24 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under58c664.51$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.0919037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under46c660.67$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.371,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed Over55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over32c600$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over33c587.91$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1910532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Under43c578$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4615646.8%73 W · 83 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under44c549.98$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.741,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over31c534.82$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.982,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over35c528.27$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.341,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b6…7efcbacked Over58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-47.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a9d…de77backed Over33c513.24$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over33c509.83$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.773536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27510247.1%48 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27519251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d3…c92fbacked Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2754736.2%17 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Under61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19532959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27028945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f1…dc7cbacked Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28518441.8%77 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under42c499.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29032042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9917052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over18c499.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Under42c499.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.995549.1%27 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Under45c499.98$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9914238.7%55 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over45c499.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.997332.9%24 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over29c484.06$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.141,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c460.81$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.092,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79fb…47a0backed Under46c431.35$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.932755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c430.35$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.12,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Over58c409$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2227744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5be5…a7f8backed Over38c392.65$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1496040%24 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Over52c384.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011563.5%73 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa111…3f22backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over33c368$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.221,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1467447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.522634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over32c350$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over30c342.58$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.121,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over54c325.85$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.961,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Over57c315.79$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18021247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11165036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over49c266.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0938…a9a8backed Under42c258.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.691435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc7…a157backed Over58c255.12$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under42c245.1$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.161,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under46c240.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1188852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.