Spread: Norway (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c6d26f9f43b2afd5760fae140eecac91f2c1ad9f74ca152b6196000bbe031c6

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Brazilof Norway, Brazil
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $919,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $998,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $919,580 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaf4d…77c6backed Norway	7c	52,149$3,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,650.45	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Norway	9c	48,871$4,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,494.4	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Norway	15c	39,065$5,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,842.35	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Brazil	29c	38,678$11,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,630.49	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Norway	5c	38,259$2,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,034.58	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Norway	6c	20,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Brazil	15c	15,059$2,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,799.96	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+31.0wins	+0.24per pick	35cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Norway	7c	15,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	219	37%81 W · 138 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaef…c642backed Norway	7c	12,198$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.86	68	13.2%9 W · 59 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Brazil	14c	11,001$1,573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,427.6	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Norway	8c	10,913$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873	249	17.7%44 W · 205 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Norway	58c	10,292$5,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,975.2	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Norway	6c	10,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Norway	35c	9,762$3,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,446.06	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norway	69c	9,280$6,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,411.78	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Norway	39c	7,016$2,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,730.25	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Norway	8c	6,276$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.1	146	12.3%18 W · 128 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Norway	6c	5,608$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.46	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Brazil	46c	5,287$2,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,836.48	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Norway	10c	5,247$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.96	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Norway	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Norway	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Norway	5c	4,786$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.87	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Norway	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Norway	55c	3,940$2,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,162.34	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…c6edbacked Norway	7c	3,600$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Norway	47c	3,422$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,619.57	326	56.1%183 W · 143 L	+29.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Norway	6c	3,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	158	46.2%73 W · 85 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Norway	40c	3,199$1,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,265.97	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Norway	8c	3,150$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Brazil	25c	3,115$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,336.22	536	29.9%160 W · 376 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Brazil	18c	3,069$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,530.14	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Norway	6c	2,959$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.66	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Brazil	75c	2,793$2,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.91	258	21.3%55 W · 203 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Norway	6c	2,597$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.84	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Brazil	75c	2,500$1,879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.82	107	32.7%35 W · 72 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Norway	6c	2,404$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.61	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Norway	79c	2,401$1,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,888.02	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Norway	11c	2,279$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.21	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Norway	3c	2,250$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Norway	53c	2,211$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.64	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Norway	4c	2,122$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.87	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Norway	55c	2,092$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.39	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Brazil	40c	2,020$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221.89	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13ca…1e53backed Norway	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	113	30.1%34 W · 79 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…8450backed Norway	7c	1,948$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.34	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-7.3wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xac69…b717backed Norway	7c	1,929$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Norway	3c	1,807$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Norway	6c	1,774$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.44	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Norway	44c	1,723$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.63	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Brazil	58c	1,710$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.17	88	71.6%63 W · 25 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Norway	4c	1,600$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Norway	4c	1,506$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Norway	8c	1,503$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.04	52	15.4%8 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Norway	76c	1,439$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.19	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Norway	69c	1,437$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.9	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Norway	7c	1,430$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.08	76	17.1%13 W · 63 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd865…96babacked Norway	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	37.6%35 W · 58 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38da…d1c0backed Norway	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Norway	7c	1,400$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	193	32.6%63 W · 130 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Norway	14c	1,369$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.82	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce45…1a43backed Norway	7c	1,186$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-40%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Norway	5c	1,150$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.95	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf505…4c26backed Brazil	52c	1,091$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.34	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f6…7b94backed Norway	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Norway	22c	991.55$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.85	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4709backed Norway	8c	931.57$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.91	59	22%13 W · 46 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Norway	4c	913.36$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.02	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Norway	6c	867.46$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.05	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Norway	46c	844.77$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.3	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Norway	6c	833$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	122	6.6%8 W · 114 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Norway	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Norway	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	223	43.9%98 W · 125 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a5e…ef23backed Norway	7c	689.53$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1846…806abacked Norway	4c	684.63$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Norway	38c	681.32$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.42	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Norway	47c	646.46$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.12	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Norway	6c	622$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.32	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Norway	4c	608.55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	290	18.6%54 W · 236 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Norway	4c	607.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xceae…1cedbacked Norway	3c	600$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb788…28e4backed Norway	7c	600$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c72…fd49backed Norway	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Norway	72c	553.71$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.88	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Brazil	58c	547.9$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.6	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Norway	59c	516.62$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.34	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6888…a61cbacked Norway	7c	515.71$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.1	144	30.6%44 W · 100 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Norway	48c	482.53$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.45	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Brazil	28c	482.04$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.48	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed Norway	6c	480.76$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.85	164	49.4%81 W · 83 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Norway	6c	480$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.22	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Norway	12c	454.28$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.56	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9da…3ef5backed Norway	5c	434.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Norway	56c	423.88$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.09	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef94…7b66backed Brazil	27c	409.67$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d4e…4accbacked Norway	7c	403.29$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.23	81	21%17 W · 64 L	-9.3wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Norway	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0c…9189backed Norway	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+81%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Norway	4c	399.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Norway	9c	378.19$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.7	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Norway (-1.5)this page
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Norway won
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Norway won
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Norway won
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Norway won
Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Norway won
Spread: Norway (-2.5)Brazil won
Spread: Norway (-3.5)Brazil won
Spread: Norway (-4.5)Brazil won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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