TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,217,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,471,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,217,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d6d…2654backed Under68c220,697$150,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,697.462657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under68c159,706$108,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,579.032774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over32c147,000$47,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,04018738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c126,934$87,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,206.484,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over34c115,000$39,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,099.9217034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over32c100,000$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,00074752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over36c69,999$25,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,199.8142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over35c61,115$21,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,090.532,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over33c37,681$12,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,434.6222348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under65c26,288$17,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,090.431,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over35c15,714$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over7c14,500$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.993625%9 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under65c14,000$9,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,939.9823949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under66c13,200$8,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,509.221,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e63…ed53backed Over34c10,032$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,410.992828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over5c10,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45028133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Over35c9,654$3,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,378.920333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under64c9,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24040655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under64c8,844$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,183.9524950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Under64c8,327$5,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.728856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under65c8,242$5,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,866.974452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over18c7,678$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.6441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under65c6,921$4,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.812,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over21c6,342$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over33c5,815$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.286930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over36c5,169$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.9321333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Under67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6505545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under66c4,880$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.38348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over33c4,728$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.342,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c4,552$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.473,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under65c4,051$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.9910555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed Under65c4,000$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4204052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under64c3,764$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.067852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under52c3,422$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.1732656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under67c3,408$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.132,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over34c3,307$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.132,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e37…6789backed Under67c3,134$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.331070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under67c3,118$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.811,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over26c3,111$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Over34c2,794$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9507913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under67c2,600$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85831152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under57c2,256$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.9343737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under65c2,200$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.8861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under66c2,166$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.493,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under66c2,141$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.921,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over40c2,084$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.4822643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under64c2,082$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.5210556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under52c2,042$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.651,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under66c2,000$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over33c2,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Over31c1,850$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.519740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Over32c1,586$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.8422730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under64c1,546$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.4911552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c1,536$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.311,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52546223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5106749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0270…5a30backed Under66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104628.3%13 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a03…a455backed Over11c1,500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1707038.6%27 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Over33c1,496$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.6211316.8%19 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under65c1,458$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.4677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over36c1,300$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46836247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked Under78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.051776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over32c1,276$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.974,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c1,194$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under52c1,193$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.8483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under66c1,180$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.463,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over36c1,050$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over49c1,040$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.112,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over10c1,035$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked Under64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3608149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over34c991.54$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1235036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over32c982$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.241,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over37c965.06$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.081,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under65c910$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.8997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over33c908.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9237955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over36c900$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32435251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over40c811.57$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0373536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over34c788.24$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26815141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over18c776.27$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9223820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f3…85cabacked Over34c699.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2382532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over28c655.58$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.21,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over30c603.3$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18236024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a4…205ebacked Under67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19816139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked Over35c600$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1615149.7%75 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46d…d125backed Over17c600$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993520%7 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over33c575.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19013736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59c6…3c8abacked Over36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over36c550$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under71c541.4$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Over36c530.56$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19122436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Under65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1757431.1%23 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12521166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Over37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18511828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.