TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,093

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,744 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under53c439$231 inLost-$231.4582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under51c383.44$196 inLost-$196.11,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28fa…7190backed Over35c300$105 inWon+$1957953.2%42 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2993…431fbacked Over48c209$100 inWon+$108.6813438.1%51 W · 83 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c133.54$70 inWon+$63.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b28…7f1bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon+$48.0414042.1%59 W · 81 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over43c54.46$23 inWon+$31.252,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f30…2a54backed Under44c42.13$19 inLost-$18.541741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Over50c40$20 inWon+$2030148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f26…c697backed Under42c26.52$11 inLost-$11.143145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c87…9141backed Over50c20$10 inWon+$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d5…cb68backed Over50c20$10 inWon+$10560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.