TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$348,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c49,896$33,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,990.934,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Under31c45,000$13,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,949.928943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under30c25,704$7,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,801.118931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbcf2…22ffbacked Over77c21,150$16,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,935.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over53c17,286$9,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,044.371,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under22c12,743$2,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.2685550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c9,926$4,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,252.393,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed Under30c9,600$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.984746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over55c9,356$5,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,197.5941331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c7,519$3,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,945.122,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under31c7,500$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32540655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over70c7,367$5,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.142,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over70c7,304$5,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.249441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under58c7,150$4,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,180.974,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under31c6,983$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.6510056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c6,709$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.123,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over62c5,262$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.312,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over40c4,379$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.844,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.9910471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Under30c3,571$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.432128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under30c3,543$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.761,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Under30c3,441$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.7136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under40c3,092$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.2821937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under20c3,074$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.3732656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under30c3,042$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.532,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56011545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over36c2,950$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.4513447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Under31c2,741$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.018243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c2,460$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.161,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over71c2,226$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.6311167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64031156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under31c1,950$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.397742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over70c1,923$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.7512266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over70c1,900$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5705358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under51c1,873$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.2316357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over54c1,828$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.432,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over75c1,800$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.299573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under27c1,788$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.72,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over68c1,625$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.042,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb28…3694backed Over69c1,600$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49517950.3%90 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under31c1,575$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.277533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over49c1,538$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.792,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under47c1,455$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.791,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2f…4adbbacked Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.285062%31 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4f…88f0backed Under30c1,431$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.176533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28b7…c41cbacked Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.574770.2%33 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f65…195abacked Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under22c1,352$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.491,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over70c1,211$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5616655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under31c1,160$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.313,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44da…c794backed Under31c1,115$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.791747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over69c1,024$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.331,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under23c1,014$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.291,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over70c1,004$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5615763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed Over72c990.69$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.551540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over41c936.38$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.221,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over68c892.58$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.5816747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under20c873.76$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6545145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over69c847.76$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.821,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under55c774.12$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.212534.4%43 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccca…4c02backed Over68c740.28$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.892948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed Over69c724.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.6415335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under22c693.14$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.121,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f8…38b5backed Over33c630$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.65158.8%30 W · 21 L+9.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under33c614$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under30c601.59$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.621,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Over68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xce2e…4257backed Over70c554.37$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.316955.1%38 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over64c548.52$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.479752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over69c547.15$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6210562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under30c535.71$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7146546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2411035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9954917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd842…775bbacked Over58c499.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.998550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Under30c499.04$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6528945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over70c494.33$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.319553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over39c477.2$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.452,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…dbbcbacked Over61c475.66$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.512867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c473.72$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.232,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c462.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Over70c449$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.734751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over54c436.16$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.681,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5724162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c02…c6d2backed Over70c420.33$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.11457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over48c415.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.131,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Over48c410$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.222730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8860752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9188…623dbacked Over50c391.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.111250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+54.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa08e…3559backed Over70c385.71$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d64…ba4abacked Under30c373.48$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.832646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Under29c372.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084751.1%24 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xff24…af32backed Over70c371.31$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+206.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over27c366.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.31,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under22c361.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.142,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over45c324.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3743145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Over31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.583522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a4…205ebacked Under32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Over70c310$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9310672.6%77 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.