TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9602…4d02backed No73c9,875$7,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.1431945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c6,061$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No70c3,790$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.5218843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No72c3,407$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.9234249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes37c2,713$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce55…f9d9backed No73c2,532$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.582951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No64c2,270$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.161,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf726…9565backed Yes28c2,181$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.191637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No62c1,880$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.232,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c1…4837backed Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353d…dc92backed Yes27c1,852$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Yes27c1,848$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4994238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd885…ebeebacked Yes28c1,813$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes32c1,700$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.7635036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c797.96$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.452,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec7…6aadbacked Yes5c784.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402010%2 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No64c717$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.421,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1d4…a063backed No74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.684450%22 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bea…a4a9backed No74c675.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6515335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed Yes31c635.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed No67c594.39$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4721937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc362…3d85backed Yes46c543.71$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5c…a98ebacked Yes27c535.81$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.672437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No73c518.51$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7182537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93b6…91cebacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008431%26 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8b4…5113backed Yes39c401.43$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.231968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb379…1a28backed No73c399.94$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.988344.6%37 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb767…9b28backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes26c368.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7422342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b84…7815backed Yes28c362.63$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…f12cbacked Yes28c360.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002020%4 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No60c356.96$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2743145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No73c346.96$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.753,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4422…5362backed Yes27c342.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.523737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No73c341.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No73c341.65$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.242,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bec…fd07backed Yes27c338.81$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.48119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-80.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No73c320.11$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4329646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf5…6149backed Yes28c303.71$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.044325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Yes27c301.04$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.283369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc749…626dbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004228.6%12 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54e1…b8cdbacked Yes27c277.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757238.9%28 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c9…d0b2backed No63c274.94$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.731735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No73c264.54$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.393,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e3…3efdbacked Yes27c248.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674122%9 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No66c213$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.672,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4a…bd70backed Yes12c201.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+67.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Yes30c200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597132.4%23 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3517020%34 W · 136 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8227…2432backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017145.6%78 W · 93 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c78…593dbacked Yes41c185.17$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0b…e486backed Yes27c183.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.67728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3b9…29abbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507640.8%31 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfb…abb4backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36cb…63d0backed Yes28c167.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes60c166.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c8…fd4cbacked No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfda3…618dbacked Yes27c147.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb79b…2e48backed Yes48c146.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f07…3f68backed Yes35c142.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504129.3%12 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed No74c134.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4328444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f37…1410backed Yes26c130.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.931526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ee…49bcbacked Yes27c130.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.19650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a8…dcb4backed No77c130.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.189556.8%54 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Yes27c125.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ee…07f3backed No49c122.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.561040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes16c121.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1658642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb152…6540backed No74c121.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.62580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Yes33c121.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021253.3%113 W · 99 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed No74c115.66$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0410749.5%53 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa096…47d4backed Yes27c112.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.383650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3075630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e98…6623backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b20…2cbfbacked Yes54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604219%8 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a28…b9afbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked No69c110$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.724540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes27c105.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.862,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d4b…25ecbacked Yes27c104.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.243040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4726…ff2bbacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb55b…3685backed Yes30c102.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.88837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked No74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3536631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed No74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3531728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd41…8761backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3130040.3%121 W · 179 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2723944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No73c99.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes26c99.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9912038.3%46 W · 74 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes36c98.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes26c94.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.152,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510038%38 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Yes26c83.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9220860.6%126 W · 82 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked No74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0838155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b2…a45ebacked Yes37c80.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018947.6%90 W · 99 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfef1…9476backed Yes33c79.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a9e…1e6fbacked Yes27c77.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb6…223cbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205819%11 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025018.4%46 W · 204 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.