TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,576,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,633,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,576,205 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under9c142,287$12,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,338.723,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c75,374$14,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,631.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Under5c56,888$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.429525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under22c55,374$12,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,059.772,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under19c51,272$9,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,591.8936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over78c50,343$39,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,015.232,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under5c50,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9813234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under5c45,943$2,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,297.1733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under11c38,092$4,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,170.6144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under8c29,877$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.0731851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under3c28,772$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.971,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under12c25,580$3,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,043.324,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under39c20,393$7,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,966.9964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Under5c18,935$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.7712846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under6c17,501$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.086016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Under39c15,555$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under26c15,154$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,995.7823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under15c14,599$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.054223.8%10 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+86%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under28c13,751$3,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,820.438931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under18c11,111$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00028229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under17c11,101$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.8844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Under5c11,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51016927.8%47 W · 122 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under6c10,389$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66516116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under6c8,512$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.721,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Under6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007958.2%46 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under8c8,172$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.3535719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3e…abeabacked Under5c8,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4e…315ebacked Under5c8,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.99728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+164%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under17c7,674$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.5774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under6c7,350$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.5122746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over66c7,072$4,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.9977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under4c6,971$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9836234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under16c6,971$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.6425844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under25c6,099$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.1343737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under5c6,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under1c5,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.9914445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under15c4,848$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.8520731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over64c4,619$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.091,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under16c4,408$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6925846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under32c4,374$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4009243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over62c4,340$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.051,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under26c4,011$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.462,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over54c4,000$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83422643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Under16c3,908$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6409219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over63c3,355$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.991,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under5c3,217$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.51756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over65c3,067$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.4810949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under15c3,028$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.4758942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over65c2,900$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01523427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under9c2,498$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22217442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over65c2,491$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.627844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under8c2,479$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9415929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under25c2,376$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9930642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under9c2,202$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.589912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under6c2,150$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12960511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c2…13d2backed Under48c2,088$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005450%27 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under36c2,040$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.364850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under7c2,037$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8810715%16 W · 91 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over63c2,000$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74811042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Over58c2,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83024540.8%100 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda22…61d0backed Over66c1,821$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.77945.6%36 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over76c1,800$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4239573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x42f0…7eb6backed Under11c1,800$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.43815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over74c1,779$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.072,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0250…9366backed Under6c1,761$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6840%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…a892backed Under6c1,731$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Over65c1,703$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.87754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under5c1,700$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8514433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under7c1,687$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3138437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over62c1,679$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.6627032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under18c1,674$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c5…22f7backed Under6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e5…a5c8backed Under9c1,630$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Under6c1,607$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.427631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under13c1,604$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3610420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Under6c1,506$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3851228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under5c1,379$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.51,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Under9c1,350$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.23511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+107.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under13c1,330$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2422639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1342…66babacked Over72c1,322$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.317440.5%30 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under11c1,300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.26235.5%22 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+119.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under49c1,218$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae4d…26a3backed Over67c1,182$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.431747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf7…e433backed Over78c1,144$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.382050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under18c1,137$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9888852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Under22c1,101$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.226053.3%32 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1163…918dbacked Under11c1,100$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under6c1,030$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.830137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over71c1,017$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Under5c999.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over74c997.29$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.2928251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.