Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Norway (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48bd4d40c53e8a52631a89ca14505a62c067d8c0d1af67cf888d422e3f5878fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Norway, Brazil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $478,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf4d…77c6backed Norway | 2c | 57,005$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.95 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +13.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Norway | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Norway | 1c | 19,485$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.4 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Norway | 3c | 13,650$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…9b11backed Norway | 2c | 10,767$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.09 | 152 | 29.6%45 W · 107 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Norway | 2c | 9,782$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.78 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Norway | 2c | 9,111$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…c6edbacked Norway | 3c | 9,012$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Norway | 0c | 8,510$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Norway | 2c | 8,237$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Norway | 2c | 6,824$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Norway | 2c | 5,948$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Norway | 2c | 5,937$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Norway | 2c | 5,149$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…b190backed Norway | 2c | 4,946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Norway | 5c | 3,904$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Norway | 2c | 3,594$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Norway | 3c | 3,249$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Norway | 2c | 3,023$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5e…ef23backed Norway | 2c | 3,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Norway | 6c | 2,826$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.37 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Norway | 1c | 2,824$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Norway | 1c | 2,772$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Norway | 2c | 2,287$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Norway | 6c | 2,276$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.29 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Norway | 10c | 2,273$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.51 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Norway | 2c | 2,007$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Norway | 4c | 1,937$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…8450backed Norway | 2c | 1,799$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…4cd4backed Norway | 2c | 1,628$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Norway | 4c | 1,207$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Norway | 2c | 1,205$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Norway | 2c | 1,194$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Norway | 2c | 1,047$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Norway | 2c | 796.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Norway | 2c | 788.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Norway | 6c | 708.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed Norway | 6c | 699.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Norway | 2c | 572.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Norway | 2c | 555$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Norway | 2c | 493.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Norway | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Norway | 6c | 385.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Norway | 5c | 368.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Norway | 5c | 357.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Norway | 4c | 286.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Norway | 8c | 204$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4e…4accbacked Norway | 8c | 138.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)this page
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.