TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe8c…9e9e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
269
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 67 out of 100 (+0.15 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 67 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT17839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 178 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$401.38
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$193.02
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.42
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.22
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.13
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,613.33
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,697Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$798.58
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$42.92
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,549Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,682.66
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,974Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$2,848.53
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,380Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$595.09
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,048.47
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$737.47
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.49
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.33
LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,496Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,039.78
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,279Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$926.01
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$604.05
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$499.65
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,055.96
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$367.22
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.09
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$418.68
Showing 25 of 178 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,108.53
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$574.02
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,237.08
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$684.11
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,135.82
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$559.3
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$561.81
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$165.55
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.99
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,355Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$637.52
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$625.84
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$273.38
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.66
Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,980Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$2,060.69
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+90.6%+$2,237.73
New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$330.71
New Orleans Privateers vs. Nicholls Colonels: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$567.52
Alabama State Hornets vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,664Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+74.3%+$1,236.32
California Golden Bears vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$186.3
Syracuse Orange vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,708.91
Creighton Bluejays vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+105%+$558.72
Maryland Terrapins vs. USC Trojansbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$670.3
Florida Gators vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$364
Kansas Jayhawks vs. UCF Knightsbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$137.04
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-4.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+5.9wins+0.45per pick24cpaid+185.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+517.2%+$1,248.57
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,571Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$1,607.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,936Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,648.85
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+455.7%+$1,328.83
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+871.1%+$10,218.01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+332.9%+$7,272.37
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+170.2%+$2,066.83
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,250.16
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.39
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.13
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+118.4%+$2,108.05
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$509.57
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,905Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,980.07
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,174.47
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,358.47
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,023.82
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$494
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$346.68
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$26.9
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,089.61
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,319.1
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$273.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$633.99
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,647Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,878.76
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,962Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$763.17
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$903.64
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,741Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,160.41
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$853.75
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$613.75
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$106.68
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$745.91
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+256.7%+$578.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,101.71
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.37
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$224.53
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.85
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+177.7%+$464.72
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.21
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.08
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.8
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$508.92
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.68
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$659.67
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$985.02
All 5 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+157.1%+$291.24
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$57.7
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$181.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$979.03
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3)backed AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,702.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.