Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8da81dfc4804992ff58b796aef481f8d9193437f7ebca97942505b38d2e9dd5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 50c | 21,000$10,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,469.51 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 13,379$8,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.76 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed OG | 1c | 13,351$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 9,699$5,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.46 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 9,225$4,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.5 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 8,604$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.19 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 8,529$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.09 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed OG | 46c | 6,718$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.51 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed OG | 54c | 6,143$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked OG | 48c | 5,815$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.68 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed OG | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 40c | 3,718$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.67 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed OG | 42c | 3,408$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.54 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 3,390$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.56 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked OG | 52c | 2,089$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.21 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…ffaabacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,082$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed OG | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,963$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.29 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,958$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 37c | 1,956$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.9 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed OG | 37c | 1,784$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.77 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,705$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.42 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked OG | 37c | 1,654$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.03 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed OG | 50c | 1,605$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.7 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked OG | 53c | 1,287$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed OG | 53c | 1,266$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked OG | 52c | 1,083$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed OG | 51c | 1,061$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.95 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed OG | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 989.47$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.61 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 988.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.77 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 45c | 978.78$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.01 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 915$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed OG | 52c | 911.14$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.04 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked OG | 53c | 846.33$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.97 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked OG | 36c | 820.33$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed OG | 3c | 593.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked OG | 51c | 560.37$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.39 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 555.85$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 528.62$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.74 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 509.79$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.09 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked OG | 42c | 461.02$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 418$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 416.87$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.28 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 402.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.13 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 382.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 368.1$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed OG | 48c | 358.24$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.23 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 355.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 350.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.91 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed OG | 35c | 330.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.08 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 309.44$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…3e6bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 303.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 44c | 295.9$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed OG | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed OG | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 263.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked OG | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 47c | 247.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed OG | 44c | 237.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 237.74$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed OG | 44c | 229$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed OG | 52c | 213.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…e5e6backed OG | 52c | 213$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 202.4$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.95 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…b641backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed OG | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…760dbacked OG | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed OG | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ca3backed OG | 26c | 187.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 178.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 170.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…76dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…1536backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed OG | 39c | 163.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 156.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…94b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed OG | 24c | 133.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 131.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed OG | 15c | 130$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 121$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked OG | 51c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked OG | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed OG | 46c | 112.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…40d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 110.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked OG | 51c | 108.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…eee9backed OG | 51c | 108.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked OG | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…6763backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 101.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.